Race 2B

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Don Hause III 11.8% 12.2% 11.8% 12.7% 12.4% 13.5% 13.5% 7.5% 3.4% 1.2% 0.0%
Andrew Mason 14.9% 14.7% 16.3% 15.7% 14.5% 9.5% 7.8% 4.5% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Grove 22.0% 20.4% 17.6% 15.1% 10.9% 8.4% 4.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Kathleen Hilton 2.6% 3.5% 4.6% 5.7% 7.7% 10.3% 14.7% 17.8% 20.8% 12.3% 0.0%
Miles Martschink 9.8% 12.2% 10.9% 13.2% 12.9% 16.5% 10.7% 8.7% 3.7% 1.4% 0.0%
Brady Stagg 23.8% 21.4% 19.1% 13.4% 10.6% 6.8% 3.4% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Evgenia Olimpieva 2.4% 1.4% 3.1% 4.3% 5.1% 7.6% 10.2% 19.6% 25.8% 20.5% 0.0%
Maxwell Plarr 3.9% 4.7% 6.2% 6.9% 9.4% 10.1% 15.3% 19.2% 16.3% 8.0% 0.0%
Robert Boger 7.7% 8.6% 9.0% 11.2% 13.4% 14.3% 15.7% 10.4% 7.6% 2.1% 0.0%
Robert Boger 7.7% 8.6% 9.0% 11.2% 13.4% 14.3% 15.7% 10.4% 7.6% 2.1% 0.0%
Kimannee Simon 1.1% 0.9% 1.4% 1.8% 3.1% 3.0% 4.6% 10.5% 19.2% 54.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.