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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.94+3.13vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.39+0.75vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.45+1.64vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island-0.20+2.16vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.01+0.59vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-1.10+2.51vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43+2.20vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-1.27+0.96vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.46-4.84vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.72-2.40vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-3.37vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University-1.91-1.57vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.46-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13Roger Williams University0.9413.6%1st Place
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2.75Roger Williams University1.3930.3%1st Place
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4.64Brown University0.4511.6%1st Place
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6.16University of Rhode Island-0.206.2%1st Place
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5.59McGill University0.017.0%1st Place
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8.51Bentley University-1.102.9%1st Place
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9.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.431.9%1st Place
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8.96Bentley University-1.272.4%1st Place
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4.16Salve Regina University0.4615.6%1st Place
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7.6University of Vermont-0.723.5%1st Place
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7.63University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.973.4%1st Place
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10.43Northeastern University-1.911.0%1st Place
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11.24University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.460.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Fuja | 13.6% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 30.3% | 23.9% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Brighton | 11.6% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Richards | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 6.2% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 9.6% |
| Miguel Sanchez Navarro | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 8.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 15.6% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mungo McKemey | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Aditya Khanna | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 21.4% | 25.8% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 19.5% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.