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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland0.75+0.99vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-0.89+2.36vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-1.70+3.12vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.81+0.39vs Predicted
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5American University-0.91-0.45vs Predicted
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6St. John's College-1.60-0.08vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.30+0.35vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-1.21-2.95vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-1.33-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99University of Maryland0.7546.2%1st Place
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4.36Drexel University-0.8910.5%1st Place
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6.12University of Virginia-1.703.9%1st Place
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4.39University of Delaware-0.818.5%1st Place
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4.55American University-0.919.3%1st Place
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5.92St. John's College-1.605.5%1st Place
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7.35University of Pittsburgh-2.302.1%1st Place
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5.05Unknown School-1.217.4%1st Place
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5.28Princeton University-1.336.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Bisson | 46.2% | 27.8% | 13.9% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 10.5% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Braeton Oliver | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 19.6% | 16.6% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 8.5% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Anika Liner | 9.3% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 14.8% |
| Stephen Turocy | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 17.4% | 45.2% |
| Clare Leeper | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 5.6% |
| Robert Rubin | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.