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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.92+6.03vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.33+3.75vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.59+5.41vs Predicted
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4Clemson University2.34+8.54vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56+3.53vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.64+2.29vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.54+1.69vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+2.75vs Predicted
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9Washington College4.25-2.96vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida4.10-3.42vs Predicted
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11University of Texas2.50+0.94vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin4.10-5.39vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College4.15-6.67vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy4.34-8.36vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College3.24-5.25vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.14-2.88vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.92-10.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.03Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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5.75Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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8.41University of Rhode Island3.590.1%1st Place
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12.54Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.53St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.0%1st Place
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8.29College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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8.69Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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10.75University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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6.04Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
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6.58University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
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11.94University of Texas2.500.0%1st Place
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6.61University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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6.33SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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5.64U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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9.75Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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13.12Tulane University2.140.0%1st Place
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7.03Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 11.5% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mike Warren | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 18.0% | 26.9% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Whitman | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Katrina Williams | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Blouin | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hall | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Proctor | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 10.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 11.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Verney | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Raff | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 12.6% | 19.5% | 32.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.