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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.67+7.13vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.68+6.15vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+4.85vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.79+3.91vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.61-0.17vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+2.77vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.50+2.03vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.50+0.83vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.51-3.55vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.80+1.48vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.50-1.88vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.54-3.16vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan2.35+0.17vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.93-2.71vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College3.83-7.31vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.92-8.56vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.60-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.15Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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7.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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7.91Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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4.83College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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8.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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9.03Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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8.83Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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5.45Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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11.48University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Naval Academy3.500.1%1st Place
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8.84Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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13.17University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
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11.29University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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7.69Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.44University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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15.0Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lambert | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Megan Magill | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Allison Blecher | 17.0% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Patten | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Emily Maxwell | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Sydney Bolger | 10.6% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 7.7% |
| Christina Pryne | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Katrina Williams | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Christina Baker | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 21.2% | 20.7% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 6.7% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Amy Hawkins | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 13.8% | 54.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.