Race 3A

susan-rogers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Adra Ivancich 12.2% 13.1% 13.1% 15.7% 12.8% 11.5% 8.9% 6.8% 3.7% 2.0% 0.3%
Sabrina Starck 12.6% 13.1% 13.4% 12.8% 12.3% 11.1% 10.3% 7.8% 4.9% 1.6% 0.2%
Deana Fedulova 14.1% 15.3% 15.4% 15.0% 14.6% 9.8% 7.3% 4.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Annika VanderHorst 9.0% 8.4% 12.4% 10.7% 12.5% 14.1% 12.5% 9.6% 6.3% 3.6% 0.8%
Sophia Devling 32.5% 25.7% 17.2% 11.7% 7.4% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Keelyn Brink 4.1% 5.3% 5.7% 6.8% 9.4% 10.2% 11.7% 13.7% 15.0% 12.3% 5.9%
Nikita Troast 4.0% 4.7% 5.7% 6.3% 7.3% 9.7% 11.5% 13.6% 14.0% 14.5% 8.9%
Gentry Schneider 1.4% 1.6% 1.8% 2.4% 2.2% 3.1% 4.8% 5.5% 7.8% 14.3% 55.2%
Esme Gonzalez 3.1% 3.9% 4.3% 6.2% 6.6% 9.6% 10.8% 12.2% 15.0% 17.6% 10.5%
Sadie Yoder 3.7% 4.0% 5.7% 6.0% 7.0% 9.1% 9.8% 12.8% 16.4% 17.6% 7.9%
Nicole Ostapowicz 3.2% 4.9% 5.5% 6.5% 7.9% 8.9% 10.5% 12.9% 14.0% 15.7% 10.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.