← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University0.47+1.28vs Predicted
-
2University of South Carolina-0.41+1.37vs Predicted
-
3University of North Carolina-0.13+0.02vs Predicted
-
4Clemson University-0.88+0.47vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina-0.92-0.78vs Predicted
-
6Davidson College-1.97-0.12vs Predicted
-
7Wake Forest University-2.44-0.46vs Predicted
-
8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.12-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.28North Carolina State University0.4735.6%1st Place
-
3.37University of South Carolina-0.4116.2%1st Place
-
3.02University of North Carolina-0.1321.5%1st Place
-
4.47Clemson University-0.888.2%1st Place
-
4.22University of North Carolina-0.929.5%1st Place
-
5.88Davidson College-1.973.9%1st Place
-
6.54Wake Forest University-2.442.1%1st Place
-
6.21University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.122.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Hauenstein | 35.6% | 28.2% | 18.2% | 11.2% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 16.2% | 18.1% | 20.3% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| John Cole McGee | 21.5% | 21.6% | 21.6% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Laufer | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 20.5% | 17.9% | 10.5% | 4.0% |
| Emma Gumny | 9.5% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 19.2% | 16.8% | 8.9% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 18.4% | 24.2% | 22.9% |
| Charles Palmer | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 23.9% | 40.4% |
| Cade Boguslaw | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 16.4% | 26.9% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.