Race 3B

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Don Hause III 11.2% 12.3% 12.4% 12.3% 12.3% 14.4% 11.9% 8.5% 3.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Andrew Mason 14.4% 14.6% 17.4% 15.0% 13.2% 10.7% 8.5% 4.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Brady Stagg 23.5% 21.6% 17.2% 13.4% 11.3% 7.9% 3.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Grove 22.0% 21.1% 18.6% 15.0% 10.7% 6.6% 4.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Miles Martschink 10.2% 10.8% 10.6% 15.8% 11.6% 15.5% 12.5% 7.7% 4.1% 1.2% 0.0%
Robert Boger 8.7% 8.8% 8.7% 10.9% 13.1% 13.3% 14.9% 11.8% 7.4% 2.4% 0.0%
Kathleen Hilton 2.3% 3.1% 4.8% 5.7% 7.7% 9.5% 15.2% 20.9% 18.5% 12.3% 0.0%
Evgenia Olimpieva 2.4% 2.3% 4.1% 3.5% 6.5% 8.2% 9.6% 14.4% 28.5% 20.5% 0.0%
Robert Boger 8.7% 8.8% 8.7% 10.9% 13.1% 13.3% 14.9% 11.8% 7.4% 2.4% 0.0%
Maxwell Plarr 4.2% 4.6% 5.2% 6.5% 10.0% 10.1% 15.5% 19.6% 17.2% 7.1% 0.0%
Kimannee Simon 1.1% 0.8% 1.0% 1.9% 3.6% 3.8% 4.4% 9.8% 18.4% 55.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.