← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Maryland0.75+1.00vs Predicted
-
2St. John's College-1.60+4.00vs Predicted
-
3American University-0.91+1.45vs Predicted
-
4University of Delaware-0.81+0.45vs Predicted
-
5University of Virginia-1.70+0.96vs Predicted
-
6Unknown School-1.21-0.99vs Predicted
-
7Drexel University-0.89-2.58vs Predicted
-
8Princeton University-1.33-2.60vs Predicted
-
9University of Pittsburgh-2.30-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.0University of Maryland0.7546.2%1st Place
-
6.0St. John's College-1.604.2%1st Place
-
4.45American University-0.918.9%1st Place
-
4.45University of Delaware-0.8110.0%1st Place
-
5.96University of Virginia-1.704.5%1st Place
-
5.01Unknown School-1.216.9%1st Place
-
4.42Drexel University-0.8910.3%1st Place
-
5.4Princeton University-1.336.6%1st Place
-
7.32University of Pittsburgh-2.302.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Bisson | 46.2% | 26.9% | 14.4% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 19.1% | 14.4% |
| Anika Liner | 8.9% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 10.0% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Braeton Oliver | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 16.2% |
| Clare Leeper | 6.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 5.1% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 10.3% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 2.8% |
| Robert Rubin | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 8.8% |
| Stephen Turocy | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.