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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+5.49vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+1.80vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.14+2.67vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.97+2.23vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+1.40vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.27-0.55vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.74-0.42vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.82-1.44vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.01-5.34vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota2.01-1.13vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-2.30vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-0.36vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia0.22-0.76vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.11-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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3.8University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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5.67Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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6.23Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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5.45Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.58Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.56Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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3.66Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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8.87University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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8.7University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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11.64University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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12.24University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
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12.7Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Lepert | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 19.7% | 17.7% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sky Adams | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 20.8% | 19.2% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 5.8% | 0.7% |
| Cassie Todd | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 12.0% | 23.4% | 27.5% | 18.2% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 17.0% | 31.1% | 31.9% |
| Kayla Sjoberg | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 12.6% | 25.6% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.