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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+5.50vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.74+4.64vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.97+3.16vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01-0.45vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+3.77vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84-1.92vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.14-1.49vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-1.71vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.27-3.57vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota2.01-1.12vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.82-4.36vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.11+0.78vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia0.22-0.74vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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6.64Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.16Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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3.55Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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8.77University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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4.08University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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5.51Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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6.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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5.43Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.88University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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6.64Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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12.78Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.110.0%1st Place
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12.26University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
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11.51University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Lepert | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 21.2% | 19.9% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 12.7% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 16.4% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Sky Adams | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kayla Sjoberg | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 4.9% | 11.9% | 25.1% | 49.4% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 16.9% | 30.2% | 33.2% |
| Cassie Todd | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 10.4% | 24.2% | 30.5% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.