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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+2.91vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.82+4.41vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+3.62vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.27+1.39vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.01-1.35vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College3.14-0.16vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-0.94vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+0.62vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota2.01-0.16vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.74-3.13vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.97-4.79vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-0.37vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.11-0.32vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia0.22-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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6.41Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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5.39Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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3.65Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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5.84Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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6.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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8.62University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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8.84University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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6.87Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.21Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.63University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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12.68Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.110.0%1st Place
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12.27University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 19.5% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 19.4% | 19.4% | 17.9% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ginger Luckey | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 18.6% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cassie Todd | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 27.9% | 25.9% | 18.1% |
| Kayla Sjoberg | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 12.9% | 23.9% | 48.7% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 16.5% | 33.7% | 30.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.