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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland0.75+0.86vs Predicted
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2American University-0.91+2.21vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.89+1.06vs Predicted
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4Unknown School-1.21+0.60vs Predicted
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5St. John's College-1.60+0.46vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-1.33-0.99vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.30-0.17vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-1.70-2.32vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-2.59-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86University of Maryland0.7550.8%1st Place
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4.21American University-0.9110.0%1st Place
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4.06Drexel University-0.8910.7%1st Place
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4.6Unknown School-1.217.5%1st Place
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5.46St. John's College-1.605.1%1st Place
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5.01Princeton University-1.336.7%1st Place
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6.83University of Pittsburgh-2.302.4%1st Place
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5.68University of Virginia-1.704.9%1st Place
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7.3University of Delaware-2.591.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michael Bisson | 50.8% | 26.5% | 13.3% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Anika Liner | 10.0% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
Paula Cabot Jaume | 10.7% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
Clare Leeper | 7.5% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
Brooke Murphy-Petri | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 13.5% | 8.0% |
Robert Rubin | 6.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 5.0% |
Stephen Turocy | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 23.8% | 28.3% |
Braeton Oliver | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 10.8% |
Travis Howell | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 19.4% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.