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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+4.27vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.74+4.60vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.01+5.72vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.840.00vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+1.76vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.82+0.67vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.97-1.04vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.11+4.67vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.14-3.22vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-3.64vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.01-7.35vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-0.35vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-4.37vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia0.22-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.6Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.72University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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4.0University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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6.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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6.67Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.96Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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12.67Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.110.0%1st Place
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5.78Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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6.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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3.65Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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11.65University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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8.63University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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12.29University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 14.6% | 18.7% | 13.8% | 5.6% | 0.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 17.1% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sky Adams | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Luna | 7.7% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Sjoberg | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 12.6% | 22.1% | 49.6% |
| Melany Johnson | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 23.6% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 11.1% | 25.2% | 28.4% | 17.1% |
| Ginger Luckey | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 0.9% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 18.3% | 32.2% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.