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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+3.10vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+3.10vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.14+2.88vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+4.80vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.74+2.06vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.01-2.21vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota2.01+1.61vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.97-1.71vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia0.22+3.33vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-3.53vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+0.69vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-5.20vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.11-0.29vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.27-8.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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5.1Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.88Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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8.8University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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7.06Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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3.79Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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8.61University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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6.29Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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12.33University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
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6.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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11.69University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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6.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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12.71Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.110.0%1st Place
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5.38Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 17.2% | 17.6% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ginger Luckey | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 12.5% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 19.7% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 14.3% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Andrea Luna | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 17.1% | 32.0% | 33.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 11.1% | 25.1% | 27.3% | 18.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kayla Sjoberg | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 13.5% | 26.6% | 46.7% |
| Sarah Mace | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.