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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.08+1.86vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-1.67+3.59vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.69+0.89vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.27-1.67vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-1.13-0.34vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-1.38-0.89vs Predicted
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7American University-1.62-1.40vs Predicted
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8St. John's College-2.73-0.67vs Predicted
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9University of Pittsburgh-3.01-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86University of Maryland-0.0824.6%1st Place
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5.59University of Delaware-1.674.3%1st Place
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3.89University of Virginia-0.6912.8%1st Place
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2.33Princeton University0.2736.3%1st Place
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4.66Drexel University-1.137.5%1st Place
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5.11Unknown School-1.386.5%1st Place
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5.6American University-1.624.5%1st Place
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7.33St. John's College-2.731.9%1st Place
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7.63University of Pittsburgh-3.011.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Cohen | 24.6% | 23.3% | 20.8% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Laura MacMillan | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 5.8% |
| Patrick McBride | 12.8% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 18.4% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Jasper Waldman | 36.3% | 27.0% | 16.6% | 11.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 7.5% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Caroline Fortier | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 10.8% | 3.2% |
| Jacob Juros | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 5.5% |
| Katherine Quinn | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 27.5% | 35.4% |
| Bootsie Glasser | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 20.8% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.