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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+2.67vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+1.94vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.01+5.79vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+2.45vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+0.35vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia0.22+6.41vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.14-1.36vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.27-2.52vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.97-2.55vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+1.67vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.22vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-3.26vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.74-6.12vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.11-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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3.94University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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8.79University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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6.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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5.35Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.41University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
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5.64Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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5.48Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.45Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.67University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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6.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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8.74University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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6.88Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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12.74Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 20.9% | 19.6% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 19.3% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 20.0% | 13.0% | 5.8% | 0.8% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 15.8% | 32.0% | 33.9% |
| Melany Johnson | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cassie Todd | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 25.7% | 28.2% | 17.5% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ginger Luckey | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Sjoberg | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 14.9% | 25.2% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.