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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.27+1.40vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.69+1.79vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-1.13+1.66vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.08-1.09vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-1.38+0.08vs Predicted
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6American University-1.62-0.50vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.67-1.36vs Predicted
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8St. John's College-2.73-0.69vs Predicted
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9University of Pittsburgh-3.01-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Princeton University0.2734.2%1st Place
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3.79University of Virginia-0.6912.7%1st Place
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4.66Drexel University-1.138.0%1st Place
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2.91University of Maryland-0.0823.3%1st Place
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5.08Unknown School-1.387.6%1st Place
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5.5American University-1.625.6%1st Place
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5.64University of Delaware-1.675.6%1st Place
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7.31St. John's College-2.731.7%1st Place
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7.71University of Pittsburgh-3.011.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jasper Waldman | 34.2% | 26.2% | 18.6% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Patrick McBride | 12.7% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Yanni Tsetsekos | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 1.6% |
Jared Cohen | 23.3% | 24.3% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Caroline Fortier | 7.6% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 9.7% | 2.8% |
Jacob Juros | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 5.5% |
Laura MacMillan | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 17.1% | 20.2% | 14.4% | 6.8% |
Katherine Quinn | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 13.6% | 29.4% | 33.1% |
Bootsie Glasser | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 21.7% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.