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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+3.02vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.97+4.10vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+2.08vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01-0.36vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+0.92vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+0.14vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.27-1.70vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+0.24vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.74-2.23vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia0.22+1.42vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College3.14-5.50vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-1.06vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.11-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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6.1Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.08Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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3.64Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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5.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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6.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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5.3Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.24University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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6.77Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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11.42University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
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5.5Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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10.94University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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11.91Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 17.9% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.0% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 20.3% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 23.5% | 15.6% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 19.5% | 32.4% | 31.6% |
| Melany Johnson | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cassie Todd | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 27.3% | 29.8% | 19.0% |
| Kayla Sjoberg | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 14.3% | 27.6% | 48.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.