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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.27+1.40vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.69+1.87vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.08-0.08vs Predicted
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4Unknown School-0.93+0.27vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-1.18-0.20vs Predicted
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6American University-1.62-0.53vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-2.27-0.46vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.62-0.85vs Predicted
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9University of Pittsburgh-3.01-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Princeton University0.2733.4%1st Place
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3.87University of Virginia-0.6913.2%1st Place
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2.92University of Maryland-0.0824.1%1st Place
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4.27Unknown School-0.939.8%1st Place
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4.8Drexel University-1.188.1%1st Place
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5.47American University-1.625.7%1st Place
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6.54St. John's College-2.272.4%1st Place
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7.15University of Delaware-2.621.9%1st Place
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7.59University of Pittsburgh-3.011.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Waldman | 33.4% | 27.1% | 19.3% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick McBride | 13.2% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Jared Cohen | 24.1% | 22.2% | 20.6% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 9.8% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Tobias Green | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 7.8% | 1.7% |
| Jacob Juros | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 18.5% | 13.2% | 5.2% |
| Tyson Hammer | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 21.4% | 22.8% | 16.4% |
| Laurel Bollinger | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 26.1% | 30.9% |
| Bootsie Glasser | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 23.6% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.