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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+5.20vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+1.62vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.97+3.11vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+1.10vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+0.90vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+2.29vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.27-1.73vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.84-4.08vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.14-3.27vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.74-3.39vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-0.21vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia0.22-0.46vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.11-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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3.62Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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6.11Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.1Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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5.27Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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3.92University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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5.73Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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6.61Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.79University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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11.54University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
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11.93Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arielle DeLisser | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 20.9% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.0% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 23.0% | 15.7% | 6.3% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Mace | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 17.6% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Cassie Todd | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 10.1% | 31.0% | 27.6% | 15.1% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 16.3% | 32.9% | 35.2% |
| Kayla Sjoberg | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 13.0% | 28.1% | 48.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.