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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+2.91vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+3.20vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+3.07vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01-0.54vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.14+0.44vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.71+0.51vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.97-1.18vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.82-1.76vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-3.16vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+0.52vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-2.98vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia0.22-0.88vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston-2.30-0.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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5.2Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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3.46Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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5.44Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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6.51Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.82Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.24Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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10.52University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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8.02University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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11.12University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
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12.84Texas A&M University at Galveston-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 18.7% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 9.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 21.9% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 8.6% | 36.9% | 34.9% | 2.6% |
| Ginger Luckey | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 23.3% | 14.3% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 24.0% | 52.6% | 5.8% |
| Paige Meineke | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.9% | 5.6% | 91.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.