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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+4.15vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+1.47vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.97+2.97vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.71+2.61vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84-1.21vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.82+0.23vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.14-1.56vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-2.08vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-3.18vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-1.92vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-0.51vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia0.22-0.82vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston-2.30-0.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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3.47Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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5.97Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.61Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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3.79University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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6.23Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.44Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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5.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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5.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.08University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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10.49University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.0%1st Place
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11.18University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
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12.84Texas A&M University at Galveston-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 23.2% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 6.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 19.5% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 23.6% | 14.0% | 5.1% | 0.1% |
| Cassie Todd | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 10.6% | 39.1% | 29.6% | 2.6% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 22.9% | 55.6% | 5.9% |
| Paige Meineke | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 6.0% | 91.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.