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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.26+2.90vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.70+1.14vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57+2.43vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.74+3.03vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.87vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89-1.33vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.85-2.22vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.97-1.46vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57-3.57vs Predicted
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10St. John's College1.42-2.41vs Predicted
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12Hampton University0.60-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Georgetown University3.260.2%1st Place
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3.14Old Dominion University3.700.2%1st Place
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5.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.1%1st Place
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7.03George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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3.13U. S. Naval Academy3.670.2%1st Place
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4.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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4.78Old Dominion University2.850.1%1st Place
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6.54Christopher Newport University1.970.0%1st Place
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5.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.1%1st Place
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7.59St. John's College1.420.0%1st Place
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8.8Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mason | 17.5% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 24.4% | 19.0% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 19.6% | 20.2% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 22.3% | 22.7% | 19.0% | 14.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Don Hause III | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Miles Martschink | 7.5% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Plarr | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 17.6% | 17.5% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Evgenia Olimpieva | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 27.5% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 17.1% | 55.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.