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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina-0.13+2.05vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina-0.41+1.38vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.47-0.74vs Predicted
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4Davidson College-1.97+1.98vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.88-0.57vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.92-1.76vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.12-0.88vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University-2.44-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05University of North Carolina-0.1320.3%1st Place
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3.38University of South Carolina-0.4115.8%1st Place
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2.26North Carolina State University0.4737.0%1st Place
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5.98Davidson College-1.973.6%1st Place
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4.43Clemson University-0.888.8%1st Place
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4.24University of North Carolina-0.929.2%1st Place
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6.12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.123.0%1st Place
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6.55Wake Forest University-2.442.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Cole McGee | 20.3% | 22.8% | 19.8% | 16.7% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 15.8% | 17.8% | 20.3% | 19.9% | 15.3% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 37.0% | 26.9% | 18.8% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 17.8% | 26.1% | 24.1% |
| Matthew Laufer | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 19.5% | 16.9% | 10.3% | 4.7% |
| Emma Gumny | 9.2% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 19.1% | 16.7% | 9.0% | 2.5% |
| Cade Boguslaw | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 18.4% | 25.9% | 27.5% |
| Charles Palmer | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 14.8% | 23.8% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.