Race 1B

sperry-women-east-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Chanel Miller 9.6% 9.8% 9.2% 10.5% 8.9% 9.7% 11.0% 8.7% 8.7% 6.0% 5.3% 2.3% 0.3%
Corina Radtke 7.8% 8.6% 9.6% 7.6% 9.0% 9.2% 10.2% 9.3% 9.8% 8.2% 6.5% 3.5% 0.7%
Katia DaSilva 13.7% 14.4% 13.8% 10.3% 10.7% 10.9% 8.5% 7.0% 5.1% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Molly McKinney 12.6% 11.3% 11.6% 11.1% 9.2% 10.1% 9.8% 7.4% 6.7% 6.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
Solvig Sayre 8.0% 7.5% 7.4% 9.8% 9.0% 6.1% 10.4% 9.6% 10.9% 7.6% 8.9% 3.9% 0.9%
Johanna Kincaid 9.8% 9.8% 10.7% 9.6% 9.4% 11.6% 8.1% 8.8% 6.6% 7.4% 6.0% 2.0% 0.2%
Hanna Vincent 15.1% 13.5% 12.4% 11.3% 12.2% 8.9% 7.5% 7.8% 5.6% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
Carolyn Naughton 8.5% 9.9% 9.0% 10.1% 8.4% 11.0% 10.0% 9.8% 8.8% 7.0% 5.1% 2.1% 0.3%
Olivia Godfrey 3.5% 4.5% 3.8% 4.1% 5.9% 5.8% 4.8% 8.5% 9.5% 13.1% 17.6% 14.4% 4.5%
Brooke Lyon 6.1% 5.4% 5.8% 6.2% 8.5% 6.6% 9.3% 8.6% 10.0% 13.3% 11.2% 6.3% 2.7%
Alison Kent 3.6% 3.9% 4.6% 6.5% 5.6% 7.2% 6.8% 9.3% 10.3% 12.2% 14.4% 11.4% 4.2%
Jeanne Currie 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 1.9% 0.7% 1.9% 2.6% 3.4% 5.2% 7.9% 23.4% 49.8%
Ryan Murphy 1.2% 0.5% 1.2% 2.0% 1.3% 2.2% 1.7% 2.6% 4.6% 6.5% 11.4% 28.9% 35.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.