Race 2B

sperry-women-east-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Molly McKinney 11.8% 11.7% 10.3% 12.9% 9.1% 10.0% 9.5% 8.3% 7.3% 4.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Hanna Vincent 14.3% 13.4% 12.9% 11.5% 10.5% 10.9% 8.0% 7.2% 5.1% 3.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.3%
Johanna Kincaid 7.8% 10.1% 10.5% 9.8% 8.9% 8.9% 11.3% 9.7% 9.0% 6.4% 4.4% 2.6% 0.6%
Carolyn Naughton 9.1% 9.3% 8.0% 10.2% 10.7% 9.6% 9.0% 8.3% 11.2% 6.9% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6%
Chanel Miller 10.1% 9.4% 10.4% 9.6% 10.3% 8.6% 9.5% 9.1% 9.1% 7.1% 5.0% 1.4% 0.4%
Alison Kent 4.2% 4.3% 5.2% 4.3% 4.9% 6.7% 7.5% 8.4% 10.5% 13.0% 15.4% 11.3% 4.3%
Brooke Lyon 6.4% 6.5% 6.2% 5.7% 6.7% 7.7% 8.4% 10.2% 7.5% 14.6% 12.4% 6.1% 1.6%
Corina Radtke 8.4% 7.4% 9.2% 8.5% 9.5% 9.5% 9.2% 10.1% 9.7% 8.2% 6.8% 2.8% 0.7%
Jeanne Currie 0.8% 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 1.9% 1.4% 2.6% 3.8% 3.3% 8.1% 23.4% 49.4%
Solvig Sayre 8.0% 6.9% 7.2% 8.6% 9.6% 8.1% 9.4% 8.7% 9.1% 10.0% 8.7% 4.6% 1.1%
Katia DaSilva 15.8% 15.5% 13.8% 10.2% 12.2% 9.1% 7.2% 6.5% 4.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2%
Ryan Murphy 0.6% 1.3% 1.2% 1.4% 1.9% 2.1% 2.8% 3.4% 4.0% 6.9% 9.8% 29.3% 35.3%
Olivia Godfrey 2.7% 3.5% 3.7% 5.8% 4.0% 6.9% 6.8% 7.5% 8.8% 12.3% 18.3% 14.3% 5.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.