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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Delaware0.01+1.38vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.69+1.50vs Predicted
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3American University-1.62+2.15vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-1.84+1.49vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-0.93-1.18vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.18-1.67vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-2.27-0.69vs Predicted
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8University of Pittsburgh-3.01-0.51vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-2.38-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38University of Delaware0.0135.6%1st Place
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3.5University of Virginia-0.6916.7%1st Place
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5.15American University-1.627.0%1st Place
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5.49University of Maryland-1.846.6%1st Place
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3.82Unknown School-0.9313.4%1st Place
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4.33Drexel University-1.1811.0%1st Place
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6.31St. John's College-2.274.9%1st Place
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7.49University of Pittsburgh-3.011.7%1st Place
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6.53Princeton University-2.383.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Harrington | 35.6% | 25.9% | 17.1% | 11.9% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick McBride | 16.7% | 18.8% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Juros | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 5.3% |
| Isaac Butz | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 7.1% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 13.4% | 16.3% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Tobias Green | 11.0% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Tyson Hammer | 4.9% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 21.7% | 16.8% |
| Bootsie Glasser | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 18.3% | 46.9% |
| John Wallar | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 22.7% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.