Race 3B

sperry-women-east-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katia DaSilva 14.7% 13.9% 13.1% 11.8% 11.3% 9.9% 8.4% 6.9% 4.6% 2.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.3%
Hanna Vincent 14.3% 13.6% 13.5% 11.1% 11.2% 9.2% 9.1% 7.6% 5.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Solvig Sayre 5.9% 7.4% 8.0% 9.3% 7.2% 9.7% 8.8% 8.1% 13.2% 9.0% 8.8% 3.7% 0.9%
Johanna Kincaid 9.1% 9.7% 9.6% 10.5% 9.4% 10.9% 8.1% 9.5% 8.6% 6.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5%
Alison Kent 4.9% 3.7% 5.1% 4.9% 7.0% 5.2% 6.8% 8.9% 8.7% 13.3% 16.2% 11.1% 4.2%
Brooke Lyon 5.8% 6.0% 5.9% 7.7% 5.9% 7.4% 9.2% 10.0% 10.9% 10.7% 11.7% 6.9% 1.9%
Molly McKinney 12.6% 13.0% 11.2% 8.8% 10.7% 10.6% 9.3% 7.2% 6.8% 5.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
Carolyn Naughton 8.6% 10.2% 9.2% 9.3% 9.0% 9.4% 11.0% 10.0% 9.8% 6.5% 4.7% 2.2% 0.1%
Chanel Miller 9.7% 8.2% 11.4% 10.2% 8.4% 8.8% 10.9% 8.5% 7.6% 7.4% 5.7% 2.6% 0.6%
Corina Radtke 9.6% 8.2% 8.0% 9.5% 9.9% 10.0% 7.2% 9.9% 8.2% 8.6% 6.2% 3.4% 1.3%
Ryan Murphy 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 1.2% 2.2% 2.4% 3.0% 3.6% 4.5% 8.4% 9.4% 30.8% 31.4%
Olivia Godfrey 3.1% 4.3% 3.1% 4.7% 5.8% 5.8% 6.3% 7.9% 8.5% 13.4% 17.5% 13.7% 5.9%
Jeanne Currie 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 2.0% 0.7% 1.9% 1.9% 3.3% 4.7% 8.5% 21.3% 52.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.