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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+4.20vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.68vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.97+2.92vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston0.89+7.00vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.73+1.50vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota2.13+2.14vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.46-2.45vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+0.33vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.01-3.16vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.87-3.81vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.02-5.45vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-4.49vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia0.59-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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4.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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5.92Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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11.0Texas A&M University at Galveston0.890.0%1st Place
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6.5Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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8.14University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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4.55Georgetown University3.460.2%1st Place
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8.33University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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5.84Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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6.19Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.55University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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11.58University of British Columbia0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 13.3% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Murphy | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 27.8% | 35.1% |
| Solvig Sayre | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Alison Kent | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 3.7% |
| Katia DaSilva | 16.6% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 4.4% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 9.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Corina Radtke | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Chanel Miller | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Brooke Lyon | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 1.5% |
| Jeanne Currie | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 21.6% | 52.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.