Race 5B

sperry-women-east-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Katia DaSilva 14.6% 13.8% 12.9% 15.1% 11.3% 9.4% 8.4% 5.9% 4.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.0%
Hanna Vincent 13.9% 15.8% 12.9% 12.0% 11.7% 9.7% 9.1% 6.3% 5.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Corina Radtke 10.0% 7.0% 10.0% 8.0% 9.4% 9.6% 11.0% 11.7% 10.9% 8.3% 3.6% 0.5%
Carolyn Naughton 8.2% 9.6% 11.6% 10.8% 10.2% 10.9% 9.1% 10.1% 9.1% 6.8% 3.0% 0.6%
Brooke Lyon 5.8% 5.9% 6.3% 6.8% 9.3% 8.7% 8.1% 11.0% 12.6% 14.0% 9.0% 2.5%
Chanel Miller 10.5% 10.6% 8.7% 10.0% 10.7% 10.9% 10.5% 10.1% 8.6% 6.3% 2.9% 0.2%
Solvig Sayre 8.4% 8.1% 7.9% 9.8% 9.5% 8.5% 10.7% 9.5% 10.9% 10.1% 5.0% 1.6%
Molly McKinney 14.5% 12.9% 12.7% 9.5% 8.9% 11.1% 9.9% 8.6% 7.1% 2.7% 1.8% 0.3%
Kelly McGlynn 7.7% 9.2% 10.9% 10.0% 10.4% 10.4% 10.1% 11.4% 9.0% 8.1% 2.5% 0.3%
Olivia Godfrey 4.2% 4.5% 4.6% 5.4% 5.7% 6.1% 7.4% 9.7% 13.6% 18.5% 15.1% 5.2%
Ryan Murphy 1.5% 1.4% 0.6% 1.4% 1.5% 2.6% 3.7% 3.3% 5.6% 9.9% 31.8% 36.7%
Jeanne Currie 0.7% 1.2% 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% 2.1% 2.0% 2.4% 3.0% 9.3% 23.7% 52.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.