← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Virginia-0.69+2.05vs Predicted
-
2Drexel University-1.18+1.98vs Predicted
-
3American University-1.62+1.79vs Predicted
-
4Unknown School-0.93-0.57vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University-2.38+1.25vs Predicted
-
6University of Pittsburgh-3.01+1.27vs Predicted
-
7University of Maryland-1.01-3.46vs Predicted
-
8St. John's College-2.27-1.89vs Predicted
-
9University of Delaware-2.62-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.05University of Virginia-0.6924.2%1st Place
-
3.98Drexel University-1.1815.0%1st Place
-
4.79American University-1.629.2%1st Place
-
3.43Unknown School-0.9318.4%1st Place
-
6.25Princeton University-2.384.2%1st Place
-
7.27University of Pittsburgh-3.012.9%1st Place
-
3.54University of Maryland-1.0118.2%1st Place
-
6.11St. John's College-2.274.4%1st Place
-
6.57University of Delaware-2.623.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick McBride | 24.2% | 20.8% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Tobias Green | 15.0% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Jacob Juros | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 3.8% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 18.4% | 19.2% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| John Wallar | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 18.4% | 21.9% | 15.2% |
| Bootsie Glasser | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 42.0% |
| Eric Garvey | 18.2% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Tyson Hammer | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 20.3% | 13.9% |
| Laurel Bollinger | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 21.8% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.