Race 6B

sperry-women-east-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Carolyn Naughton 9.9% 9.0% 9.0% 10.1% 9.2% 11.4% 10.5% 10.1% 10.3% 6.7% 3.6% 0.2%
Hanna Vincent 13.6% 15.9% 12.7% 13.1% 12.5% 8.6% 9.2% 6.1% 5.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Chanel Miller 12.0% 7.5% 10.6% 9.4% 10.8% 9.8% 10.6% 11.4% 9.0% 6.3% 2.2% 0.4%
Katia DaSilva 13.8% 15.9% 13.9% 12.7% 11.4% 10.4% 6.8% 6.4% 5.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Molly McKinney 12.2% 12.5% 12.7% 11.8% 10.7% 9.8% 10.3% 6.9% 6.5% 4.5% 2.0% 0.1%
Corina Radtke 8.7% 9.9% 7.9% 8.6% 10.2% 10.8% 11.2% 9.2% 10.8% 7.4% 4.7% 0.6%
Brooke Lyon 6.3% 6.5% 6.5% 7.8% 7.6% 7.9% 8.6% 12.0% 12.1% 14.8% 6.7% 3.2%
Solvig Sayre 8.8% 7.9% 8.7% 8.5% 8.4% 9.9% 9.5% 11.2% 11.4% 9.5% 5.4% 0.8%
Kelly McGlynn 8.2% 8.3% 11.2% 10.3% 10.2% 10.9% 10.1% 11.1% 9.1% 7.6% 2.7% 0.3%
Olivia Godfrey 4.6% 3.7% 5.0% 4.9% 6.1% 6.3% 7.5% 9.9% 12.6% 18.7% 15.4% 5.3%
Ryan Murphy 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 1.5% 1.4% 2.4% 3.7% 3.3% 4.9% 10.7% 30.7% 37.5%
Jeanne Currie 0.6% 1.3% 0.8% 1.3% 1.5% 1.8% 2.0% 2.4% 3.2% 8.5% 25.0% 51.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.