← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.04+4.69vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College0.83+7.88vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College1.92+3.31vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University1.32+7.02vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.58+2.51vs Predicted
-
6Yale University1.75+0.63vs Predicted
-
7Brown University1.42+1.01vs Predicted
-
8Yale University1.90-1.49vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.54-0.80vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College0.88+0.17vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.69-2.28vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College0.83-1.86vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island1.81-6.53vs Predicted
-
14Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.20+1.96vs Predicted
-
15Maine Maritime Academy0.14-2.41vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-7.04vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University0.46-5.73vs Predicted
-
18Middlebury College-1.99-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.69Brown University2.0412.0%1st Place
-
9.88Connecticut College0.834.3%1st Place
-
6.31Connecticut College1.9210.1%1st Place
-
11.02Salve Regina University1.322.6%1st Place
-
7.51Roger Williams University1.588.0%1st Place
-
6.63Yale University1.759.4%1st Place
-
8.01Brown University1.426.9%1st Place
-
6.51Yale University1.9010.0%1st Place
-
8.2Tufts University1.545.0%1st Place
-
10.17Connecticut College0.884.2%1st Place
-
8.72Northeastern University1.695.6%1st Place
-
10.14Connecticut College0.833.9%1st Place
-
6.47University of Rhode Island1.818.8%1st Place
-
15.96Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.200.4%1st Place
-
12.59Maine Maritime Academy0.141.7%1st Place
-
8.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.7%1st Place
-
11.27Salve Regina University0.462.4%1st Place
-
16.96Middlebury College-1.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brielle Willoughby | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| George Higham | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Davies | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Macken | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Sih | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Will Glasson | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 40.9% | 27.7% |
| Kevin Carse | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 19.9% | 12.6% | 3.3% |
| Jack Derry | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 1.4% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 19.5% | 64.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.