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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+3.54vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.23+2.93vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.87+2.91vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+1.48vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+2.88vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.46-1.66vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.01-1.58vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.97-2.49vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-2.18vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.73-3.84vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston0.89-0.71vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia0.59-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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4.93Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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5.91Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.48University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.88University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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4.34Georgetown University3.460.2%1st Place
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5.42Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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5.51Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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6.16Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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10.29Texas A&M University at Galveston0.890.0%1st Place
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10.72University of British Columbia0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanna Vincent | 14.7% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 11.3% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 19.3% | 15.4% | 5.8% |
| Katia DaSilva | 15.5% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Brooke Lyon | 5.2% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 7.6% | 1.1% |
| Solvig Sayre | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Murphy | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 32.7% | 36.7% |
| Jeanne Currie | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 8.5% | 24.4% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.