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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.90+5.40vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.92+4.13vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.04+2.67vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.42+3.83vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.32+5.79vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.58+1.64vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.69+1.58vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.83+1.82vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.54-0.88vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.83+0.44vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.88-1.00vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.75-5.38vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-3.74vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.14-1.33vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.81-8.41vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.46-4.52vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.20-1.06vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.99-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.4Yale University1.909.0%1st Place
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6.13Connecticut College1.9210.2%1st Place
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5.67Brown University2.0412.3%1st Place
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7.83Brown University1.426.6%1st Place
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10.79Salve Regina University1.323.4%1st Place
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7.64Roger Williams University1.586.3%1st Place
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8.58Northeastern University1.695.7%1st Place
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9.82Connecticut College0.834.4%1st Place
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8.12Tufts University1.546.0%1st Place
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10.44Connecticut College0.833.1%1st Place
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10.0Connecticut College0.883.6%1st Place
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6.62Yale University1.759.7%1st Place
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9.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.4%1st Place
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12.67Maine Maritime Academy0.141.7%1st Place
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6.59University of Rhode Island1.819.8%1st Place
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11.48Salve Regina University0.462.9%1st Place
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15.94Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.200.5%1st Place
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17.03Middlebury College-1.990.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Sih | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Macken | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| George Higham | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Bryan Trammell | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Will Glasson | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Davies | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Carse | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 19.7% | 12.7% | 3.7% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 7.0% | 1.0% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 41.5% | 26.9% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 19.9% | 65.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.