← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College1.92+5.41vs Predicted
-
2Yale University1.75+4.66vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.04+2.91vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College0.83+5.94vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University1.32+5.81vs Predicted
-
6Yale University1.90+0.29vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.58+0.38vs Predicted
-
8Brown University1.42-0.12vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island1.81-2.45vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.69-1.17vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College0.88-0.95vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-3.08vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College0.83-2.64vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.54-5.93vs Predicted
-
15Maine Maritime Academy0.14-2.53vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University0.46-4.47vs Predicted
-
17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.20-1.06vs Predicted
-
18Middlebury College-1.99-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.41Connecticut College1.929.6%1st Place
-
6.66Yale University1.759.5%1st Place
-
5.91Brown University2.0411.8%1st Place
-
9.94Connecticut College0.834.2%1st Place
-
10.81Salve Regina University1.323.1%1st Place
-
6.29Yale University1.9010.4%1st Place
-
7.38Roger Williams University1.588.5%1st Place
-
7.88Brown University1.426.5%1st Place
-
6.55University of Rhode Island1.818.8%1st Place
-
8.83Northeastern University1.694.8%1st Place
-
10.05Connecticut College0.883.9%1st Place
-
8.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.095.1%1st Place
-
10.36Connecticut College0.833.5%1st Place
-
8.07Tufts University1.545.9%1st Place
-
12.47Maine Maritime Academy0.141.6%1st Place
-
11.53Salve Regina University0.462.2%1st Place
-
15.94Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.200.5%1st Place
-
17.0Middlebury College-1.990.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Mckenna | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Davies | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Sih | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Macken | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Jack Derry | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Will Glasson | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Bryan Trammell | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Carse | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 2.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 6.6% | 1.4% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 40.2% | 29.0% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 20.2% | 65.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.