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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.87+4.97vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.73+4.21vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.23+1.96vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.46+0.34vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.54vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.01-0.52vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.02-1.60vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-1.15vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-1.17vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.97-4.47vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston0.89-0.71vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia0.59-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.21Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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4.96Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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4.34Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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4.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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5.48Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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5.4University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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7.83University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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5.53Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.29Texas A&M University at Galveston0.890.0%1st Place
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10.69University of British Columbia0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corina Radtke | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Solvig Sayre | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Molly McKinney | 12.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Katia DaSilva | 14.7% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Hanna Vincent | 14.3% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Brooke Lyon | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 2.8% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 14.7% | 4.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Murphy | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 31.6% | 37.3% |
| Jeanne Currie | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 7.8% | 25.2% | 51.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.