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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.92+5.41vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.04+3.70vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.75+3.70vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.58+3.50vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.90+1.11vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.69+2.58vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+2.09vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.83+2.18vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.83+0.62vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.54-1.78vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.88-0.84vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.81-5.38vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.32-2.04vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.46-2.59vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.03-2.07vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.99+0.92vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.42-9.01vs Predicted
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18Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.20-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41Connecticut College1.9210.8%1st Place
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5.7Brown University2.0410.9%1st Place
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6.7Yale University1.759.5%1st Place
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7.5Roger Williams University1.587.6%1st Place
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6.11Yale University1.909.8%1st Place
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8.58Northeastern University1.696.2%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.9%1st Place
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10.18Connecticut College0.833.5%1st Place
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9.62Connecticut College0.834.2%1st Place
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8.22Tufts University1.545.3%1st Place
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10.16Connecticut College0.883.5%1st Place
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6.62University of Rhode Island1.819.8%1st Place
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10.96Salve Regina University1.322.6%1st Place
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11.41Salve Regina University0.462.1%1st Place
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12.93Maine Maritime Academy0.031.9%1st Place
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16.92Middlebury College-1.990.2%1st Place
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7.99Brown University1.426.9%1st Place
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15.88Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.200.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Mckenna | 10.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.9% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Davies | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Sih | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Derry | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Will Glasson | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Bryan Trammell | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 0.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 1.1% |
| Quinn Collins | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 19.9% | 16.1% | 3.9% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 20.0% | 62.9% |
| Connor Macken | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 37.6% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.