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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+3.32vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+2.41vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.87+2.60vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01+1.23vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.73+0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02-0.76vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.33-0.16vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-1.43vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-1.43vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.92-4.58vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston0.89-0.80vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia0.59-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.2%1st Place
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4.41Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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5.6Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.23Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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5.96Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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5.24University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.84Georgetown University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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7.57University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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5.42Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.2Texas A&M University at Galveston0.890.0%1st Place
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10.63University of British Columbia0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanna Vincent | 15.9% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 14.2% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 9.4% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Solvig Sayre | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Merritt Moran | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
| Brooke Lyon | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 2.5% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 18.0% | 12.5% | 3.8% |
| Maeve White | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Murphy | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 31.3% | 36.4% |
| Jeanne Currie | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 8.6% | 23.5% | 51.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.