Race 10B

sperry-women-east-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Brooke Lyon 6.3% 6.1% 6.3% 8.1% 7.8% 9.2% 8.6% 12.5% 12.0% 13.7% 6.4% 3.0%
Corina Radtke 8.9% 9.8% 10.7% 10.8% 10.1% 9.9% 10.8% 9.6% 10.5% 5.2% 3.3% 0.4%
Hanna Vincent 17.0% 13.9% 14.2% 13.2% 11.0% 10.9% 7.9% 6.1% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Solvig Sayre 7.7% 8.1% 9.8% 9.8% 10.6% 9.3% 10.9% 9.6% 9.9% 9.2% 3.9% 1.2%
Chanel Miller 10.0% 13.5% 10.3% 10.3% 10.9% 10.1% 9.8% 9.0% 7.9% 4.4% 3.3% 0.5%
Johanna Kincaid 11.2% 10.6% 11.7% 10.5% 10.6% 11.3% 9.4% 9.9% 6.8% 5.3% 2.2% 0.5%
Maeve White 10.3% 10.9% 10.6% 9.6% 10.9% 9.6% 10.3% 9.6% 8.7% 5.5% 3.1% 0.9%
Allyson Donahue 16.7% 15.5% 12.9% 11.8% 10.3% 9.7% 9.2% 5.2% 4.8% 2.2% 1.6% 0.1%
Ryan Murphy 1.2% 0.8% 1.8% 1.6% 2.0% 2.4% 2.8% 5.3% 7.1% 13.1% 28.5% 33.4%
Merritt Moran 6.1% 5.8% 6.3% 6.3% 8.6% 8.0% 10.5% 10.1% 12.3% 14.3% 8.8% 2.9%
Olivia Godfrey 3.9% 3.7% 3.8% 6.3% 5.9% 8.0% 7.9% 10.4% 11.4% 17.6% 14.8% 6.3%
Jeanne Currie 0.7% 1.3% 1.6% 1.7% 1.3% 1.6% 1.9% 2.7% 5.1% 7.9% 23.5% 50.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.