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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University-0.88+3.49vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.47+0.25vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.13+0.03vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-0.41-0.67vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.12+1.17vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.92-1.79vs Predicted
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7Davidson College-1.97-1.04vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University-2.44-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Clemson University-0.887.0%1st Place
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2.25North Carolina State University0.4736.9%1st Place
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3.03University of North Carolina-0.1319.9%1st Place
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3.33University of South Carolina-0.4117.3%1st Place
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6.17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.122.5%1st Place
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4.21University of North Carolina-0.9210.3%1st Place
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5.96Davidson College-1.974.1%1st Place
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6.56Wake Forest University-2.442.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Laufer | 7.0% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 21.1% | 17.8% | 11.2% | 3.6% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 36.9% | 26.9% | 19.3% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Cole McGee | 19.9% | 22.8% | 20.6% | 18.6% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 17.3% | 18.6% | 20.5% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Cade Boguslaw | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 17.2% | 25.9% | 28.6% |
| Emma Gumny | 10.3% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 20.3% | 16.2% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 19.4% | 25.8% | 23.5% |
| Charles Palmer | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 23.4% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.