← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University3.70+2.10vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57+3.38vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.20vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University3.26-0.06vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89-0.35vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University2.85-1.28vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University1.97-0.42vs Predicted
-
8St. John's College1.42-0.42vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University1.74-1.96vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57-4.62vs Predicted
-
12Hampton University0.60-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.1Old Dominion University3.700.2%1st Place
-
5.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.1%1st Place
-
3.2U. S. Naval Academy3.670.2%1st Place
-
3.94Georgetown University3.260.1%1st Place
-
4.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
-
4.72Old Dominion University2.850.1%1st Place
-
6.58Christopher Newport University1.970.0%1st Place
-
7.58St. John's College1.420.0%1st Place
-
7.04George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
-
5.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.1%1st Place
-
8.81Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Stagg | 24.6% | 22.9% | 17.3% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 8.3% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 22.7% | 20.8% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mason | 13.1% | 16.5% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Don Hause III | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Miles Martschink | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Plarr | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 17.7% | 19.6% | 15.8% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Evgenia Olimpieva | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 26.6% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 19.1% | 22.0% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 8.3% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 17.7% | 55.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.