Race 1A

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nikole Barnes 11.3% 13.9% 12.3% 11.2% 11.6% 8.8% 8.8% 7.6% 5.3% 4.5% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Deirdre Lambert 15.7% 14.1% 14.7% 11.6% 9.7% 10.6% 9.5% 5.3% 3.6% 2.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Madeline Kennedy 6.6% 6.9% 8.3% 7.6% 7.0% 6.7% 10.4% 10.8% 11.5% 10.5% 8.6% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Morgan Kiss 18.0% 18.9% 13.6% 13.9% 8.6% 9.4% 6.4% 5.5% 3.0% 1.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Laura Wefer 4.7% 6.7% 6.7% 8.9% 9.0% 8.9% 9.2% 9.1% 10.2% 10.7% 10.9% 4.1% 0.7% 0.2%
Erin Mullins 6.7% 5.7% 6.5% 7.8% 9.2% 9.6% 9.7% 10.5% 10.2% 8.5% 9.4% 5.0% 1.1% 0.1%
Dominique Wright 5.8% 7.0% 8.0% 5.6% 8.7% 8.7% 8.7% 10.1% 10.4% 10.9% 10.0% 4.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Jennifer Borshoff 6.3% 5.1% 7.4% 6.9% 7.5% 7.2% 7.7% 10.3% 11.3% 11.0% 10.2% 6.9% 1.9% 0.3%
Clerc Cooper 12.6% 12.1% 11.3% 12.0% 11.3% 10.5% 8.4% 7.5% 6.2% 4.2% 2.4% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Adelaide Ferguson 4.1% 4.0% 3.9% 4.6% 6.5% 7.9% 8.2% 9.2% 10.0% 14.1% 14.2% 9.4% 3.2% 0.7%
Marissa Lihan 6.1% 4.6% 5.4% 7.8% 8.3% 7.8% 9.0% 8.9% 12.2% 11.8% 10.6% 6.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Erin Hawk 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 1.7% 1.3% 1.2% 2.0% 2.6% 5.3% 18.4% 35.7% 29.2%
Deborah Kenote 1.4% 0.4% 1.1% 1.3% 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 2.8% 2.6% 5.1% 9.1% 27.4% 28.6% 15.1%
Sarah Gross 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 1.2% 1.5% 2.0% 2.9% 10.7% 25.2% 53.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.