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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.81+5.55vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.58+5.57vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.83+6.95vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.92+2.37vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.83+5.17vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.69+2.69vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.75-0.32vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.32+2.54vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.54-0.85vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.90-3.66vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.42-3.08vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.04-6.34vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-3.79vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.88-3.86vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.99+2.04vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.03-3.14vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.46-5.63vs Predicted
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18Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.20-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55University of Rhode Island1.819.2%1st Place
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7.57Roger Williams University1.587.1%1st Place
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9.95Connecticut College0.833.7%1st Place
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6.37Connecticut College1.9210.4%1st Place
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10.17Connecticut College0.833.8%1st Place
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8.69Northeastern University1.695.8%1st Place
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6.68Yale University1.758.6%1st Place
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10.54Salve Regina University1.324.2%1st Place
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8.15Tufts University1.546.6%1st Place
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6.34Yale University1.9010.2%1st Place
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7.92Brown University1.426.2%1st Place
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5.66Brown University2.0411.3%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.2%1st Place
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10.14Connecticut College0.883.5%1st Place
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17.04Middlebury College-1.990.2%1st Place
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12.86Maine Maritime Academy0.031.8%1st Place
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11.37Salve Regina University0.462.6%1st Place
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15.8Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.200.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| George Higham | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| CJ Mckenna | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Glasson | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Davies | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Bryan Trammell | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Sih | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Macken | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.3% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 19.7% | 65.5% |
| Quinn Collins | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 21.1% | 14.9% | 4.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 0.9% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 11.1% | 39.5% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.