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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.75+5.64vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.92+4.11vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.54+5.10vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.90+2.31vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.42+2.58vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.32+4.71vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.81-0.75vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.58-0.59vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.04-3.43vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.83-0.07vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.03+1.84vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.83-2.52vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.19-0.69vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.69-5.36vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-5.97vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.46-4.65vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.20-1.23vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.99-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Yale University1.758.9%1st Place
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6.11Connecticut College1.9210.8%1st Place
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8.1Tufts University1.546.4%1st Place
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6.31Yale University1.909.8%1st Place
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7.58Brown University1.426.8%1st Place
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10.71Salve Regina University1.322.9%1st Place
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6.25University of Rhode Island1.8110.8%1st Place
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7.41Roger Williams University1.587.0%1st Place
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5.57Brown University2.0411.9%1st Place
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9.93Connecticut College0.833.4%1st Place
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12.84Maine Maritime Academy0.031.5%1st Place
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9.48Connecticut College0.834.5%1st Place
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12.31Connecticut College0.191.5%1st Place
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8.64Northeastern University1.695.9%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.7%1st Place
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11.35Salve Regina University0.462.8%1st Place
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15.77Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.200.1%1st Place
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16.98Middlebury College-1.990.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Davies | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 10.8% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Sih | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Macken | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Glasson | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Quinn Collins | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 19.5% | 13.9% | 3.7% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Miya Preyer | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 10.8% | 2.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jack Derry | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 39.8% | 24.8% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 16.9% | 65.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.