Race 3A

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Clerc Cooper 13.2% 12.9% 13.0% 11.8% 10.5% 10.0% 8.3% 6.1% 6.2% 3.7% 3.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Nikole Barnes 13.1% 13.2% 11.4% 11.2% 11.1% 10.9% 10.4% 6.5% 5.1% 3.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Morgan Kiss 19.8% 17.7% 14.1% 11.3% 11.6% 8.2% 6.7% 4.8% 3.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Adelaide Ferguson 3.0% 5.2% 4.4% 6.8% 5.7% 7.2% 7.0% 10.8% 8.1% 14.6% 14.9% 8.3% 3.4% 0.6%
Deirdre Lambert 11.7% 14.1% 13.2% 14.2% 11.2% 9.8% 8.2% 7.1% 4.7% 3.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Mullins 6.3% 5.5% 8.2% 6.6% 8.2% 10.3% 9.6% 8.9% 11.6% 9.1% 8.9% 5.5% 1.2% 0.1%
Dominique Wright 6.3% 7.7% 6.5% 6.7% 6.1% 10.8% 8.7% 9.5% 11.0% 10.3% 10.7% 4.3% 1.1% 0.3%
Madeline Kennedy 7.5% 6.5% 8.3% 7.5% 8.9% 7.6% 10.2% 9.2% 8.7% 10.8% 8.8% 4.2% 1.7% 0.1%
Jennifer Borshoff 5.6% 4.1% 6.9% 5.4% 7.0% 7.8% 9.6% 10.6% 11.7% 12.1% 11.7% 4.9% 2.5% 0.1%
Marissa Lihan 5.2% 4.9% 5.9% 6.8% 7.8% 7.4% 8.8% 11.4% 10.9% 11.6% 11.0% 6.1% 1.7% 0.5%
Laura Wefer 6.4% 6.8% 6.1% 9.1% 9.1% 7.4% 8.9% 10.5% 11.1% 10.5% 8.7% 4.4% 0.7% 0.3%
Deborah Kenote 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 1.2% 1.7% 1.3% 1.5% 2.4% 2.9% 4.5% 8.3% 29.4% 29.4% 14.9%
Erin Hawk 0.9% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 1.4% 1.0% 2.5% 3.6% 5.3% 19.9% 32.7% 29.1%
Sarah Gross 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 1.2% 1.7% 1.4% 3.1% 10.3% 25.5% 54.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.