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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.90+5.16vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.92+4.15vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.75+3.29vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.69+4.52vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.42+2.78vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.81+0.42vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.58+0.34vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.19+4.39vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.54-0.78vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.83-0.28vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.03+1.70vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-3.01vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.04-7.39vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.46-2.70vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.99+2.05vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.83-6.04vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.32-6.30vs Predicted
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18Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.20-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Yale University1.9010.1%1st Place
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6.15Connecticut College1.929.8%1st Place
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6.29Yale University1.7510.3%1st Place
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8.52Northeastern University1.696.2%1st Place
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7.78Brown University1.426.5%1st Place
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6.42University of Rhode Island1.819.9%1st Place
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7.34Roger Williams University1.587.1%1st Place
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12.39Connecticut College0.191.8%1st Place
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8.22Tufts University1.546.0%1st Place
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9.72Connecticut College0.833.5%1st Place
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12.7Maine Maritime Academy0.032.2%1st Place
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8.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.2%1st Place
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5.61Brown University2.0411.6%1st Place
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11.3Salve Regina University0.462.8%1st Place
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17.05Middlebury College-1.990.1%1st Place
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9.96Connecticut College0.834.2%1st Place
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10.7Salve Regina University1.322.9%1st Place
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15.7Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.200.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Sih | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Davies | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Connor Macken | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Miya Preyer | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 2.8% |
| Bryan Trammell | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Quinn Collins | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 19.6% | 13.7% | 2.9% |
| Jack Derry | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 0.7% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 17.6% | 67.0% |
| Will Glasson | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 12.2% | 37.8% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.