← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University1.31+6.50vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College1.37+5.45vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.18+1.57vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University0.65+7.62vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.24+2.79vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.86-0.26vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University0.83+2.18vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+0.78vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College0.43+1.87vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College0.27+1.39vs Predicted
-
11Salve Regina University0.97-1.96vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island1.54-4.40vs Predicted
-
13Yale University1.25-4.52vs Predicted
-
14Brown University2.22-9.42vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College0.38-3.89vs Predicted
-
16Maine Maritime Academy-0.21-3.01vs Predicted
-
17Middlebury College-0.84-1.99vs Predicted
-
18Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.54-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.5Salve Regina University1.316.9%1st Place
-
7.45Connecticut College1.377.0%1st Place
-
4.57Yale University2.1817.6%1st Place
-
11.62Northeastern University0.651.6%1st Place
-
7.79Roger Williams University1.246.3%1st Place
-
5.74Brown University1.8611.7%1st Place
-
9.18Tufts University0.833.8%1st Place
-
8.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.084.5%1st Place
-
10.87Connecticut College0.431.8%1st Place
-
11.39Connecticut College0.272.1%1st Place
-
9.04Salve Regina University0.974.0%1st Place
-
7.6University of Rhode Island1.547.5%1st Place
-
8.48Yale University1.254.6%1st Place
-
4.58Brown University2.2216.4%1st Place
-
11.11Connecticut College0.382.4%1st Place
-
12.99Maine Maritime Academy-0.211.4%1st Place
-
15.01Middlebury College-0.840.4%1st Place
-
17.31Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Tullberg | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Bedford | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Farina | 17.6% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Brock | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 1.2% |
| William Bailey | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 11.7% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Christian Moffitt | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mason Stang | 16.4% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Gronda | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 0.6% |
| Sean Caulfield | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 3.9% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 13.5% | 37.6% | 13.9% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 10.2% | 77.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.