Race 4A

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Marissa Lihan 5.4% 5.2% 6.7% 7.5% 9.1% 7.3% 10.2% 9.5% 10.8% 10.6% 10.3% 5.8% 1.4% 0.2%
Clerc Cooper 14.2% 13.4% 12.4% 11.2% 11.5% 9.8% 9.3% 7.6% 4.4% 3.0% 2.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Laura Wefer 6.8% 7.0% 7.9% 8.1% 6.1% 8.4% 9.7% 11.3% 11.0% 9.5% 9.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Morgan Kiss 16.8% 18.7% 13.3% 13.6% 10.8% 9.4% 7.2% 4.5% 3.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Dominique Wright 4.3% 6.0% 5.7% 7.5% 8.1% 9.1% 8.4% 9.7% 9.9% 11.2% 13.3% 5.2% 1.3% 0.3%
Madeline Kennedy 6.3% 5.0% 8.0% 8.0% 7.5% 11.0% 8.3% 10.6% 10.0% 9.5% 8.9% 5.7% 1.2% 0.0%
Nikole Barnes 13.0% 13.9% 11.3% 11.4% 9.8% 10.3% 9.1% 8.1% 5.8% 4.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Adelaide Ferguson 4.8% 4.8% 5.5% 5.5% 6.5% 6.3% 6.2% 9.6% 10.1% 14.2% 13.5% 9.1% 3.4% 0.5%
Erin Mullins 6.1% 6.6% 6.6% 7.2% 9.1% 9.4% 9.8% 9.9% 11.9% 9.4% 8.9% 3.9% 1.2% 0.0%
Deborah Kenote 1.0% 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 1.4% 1.0% 1.0% 1.8% 3.6% 5.2% 9.0% 28.5% 27.5% 16.7%
Deirdre Lambert 15.1% 11.4% 14.6% 11.6% 11.6% 8.8% 8.8% 6.3% 4.4% 4.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Hawk 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 1.9% 2.6% 5.6% 19.1% 36.4% 28.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 5.7% 6.5% 5.8% 6.0% 7.3% 7.5% 10.3% 9.2% 11.2% 11.8% 10.7% 5.4% 2.3% 0.3%
Sarah Gross 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.7% 1.9% 2.2% 3.9% 11.0% 23.7% 53.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.