Race 5A

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jennifer Borshoff 5.3% 5.5% 7.0% 7.9% 6.7% 9.3% 8.0% 9.5% 11.8% 11.0% 10.2% 5.3% 2.2% 0.3%
Erin Mullins 6.2% 7.8% 8.2% 9.7% 7.1% 8.6% 8.6% 11.5% 10.3% 9.7% 7.9% 3.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Deirdre Lambert 15.6% 13.6% 13.1% 9.6% 13.1% 8.6% 9.5% 6.2% 5.0% 3.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Nikole Barnes 11.9% 10.9% 11.8% 11.6% 10.9% 11.7% 7.8% 7.8% 6.3% 5.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Morgan Kiss 16.9% 17.8% 15.7% 12.9% 10.0% 8.3% 6.6% 5.2% 4.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Clerc Cooper 12.9% 11.4% 12.0% 11.5% 12.4% 8.6% 9.4% 7.0% 6.7% 4.0% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Adelaide Ferguson 4.3% 6.2% 5.1% 6.9% 5.0% 6.2% 8.4% 8.0% 10.5% 11.1% 16.8% 8.9% 2.3% 0.3%
Marissa Lihan 6.0% 5.7% 7.3% 7.2% 6.8% 7.6% 8.1% 10.3% 10.0% 10.2% 12.5% 6.2% 1.8% 0.3%
Deborah Kenote 1.1% 1.0% 1.2% 0.6% 1.4% 1.4% 1.9% 2.2% 2.2% 5.5% 8.1% 28.6% 29.8% 15.0%
Laura Wefer 5.9% 6.8% 6.1% 7.2% 8.8% 9.3% 9.9% 9.8% 11.0% 9.5% 9.9% 4.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Dominique Wright 5.6% 5.6% 5.7% 6.7% 8.0% 8.9% 8.7% 9.5% 10.6% 12.3% 10.5% 6.5% 1.2% 0.2%
Erin Hawk 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 1.8% 1.4% 1.7% 2.4% 5.1% 19.3% 35.5% 28.8%
Madeline Kennedy 7.7% 7.0% 6.0% 7.3% 8.3% 9.6% 10.5% 11.1% 8.7% 10.8% 8.3% 3.6% 1.0% 0.1%
Sarah Gross 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 1.2% 2.4% 2.9% 10.9% 24.0% 54.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.