Race 6A

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Adelaide Ferguson 4.3% 3.4% 5.4% 6.2% 7.3% 7.0% 7.3% 8.3% 11.2% 12.4% 13.5% 9.6% 3.1% 1.0%
Madeline Kennedy 6.6% 8.3% 8.3% 8.5% 7.6% 7.5% 9.7% 10.9% 10.6% 9.6% 7.7% 3.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Clerc Cooper 13.8% 13.8% 11.4% 10.5% 10.7% 10.1% 8.0% 8.6% 5.9% 3.6% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 4.3% 5.9% 5.8% 7.6% 8.2% 7.7% 8.5% 9.0% 9.8% 11.6% 13.0% 6.2% 2.3% 0.1%
Morgan Kiss 17.7% 16.7% 17.1% 12.4% 10.3% 7.6% 6.3% 5.9% 3.1% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Deirdre Lambert 14.2% 13.3% 12.7% 12.0% 11.6% 8.5% 10.4% 5.3% 5.4% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Deborah Kenote 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 1.3% 1.3% 1.9% 3.1% 2.8% 3.0% 6.5% 8.8% 27.5% 27.1% 13.8%
Nikole Barnes 13.1% 12.7% 11.1% 10.7% 11.0% 10.5% 7.8% 7.3% 6.3% 5.2% 3.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Erin Mullins 6.8% 5.8% 6.9% 7.5% 8.4% 9.8% 9.8% 10.2% 10.4% 9.8% 9.0% 4.4% 1.2% 0.0%
Laura Wefer 5.8% 6.6% 7.2% 8.1% 8.0% 8.8% 10.5% 8.3% 11.4% 9.3% 9.0% 5.4% 1.5% 0.1%
Dominique Wright 6.1% 4.8% 6.5% 7.3% 7.9% 8.6% 8.4% 9.1% 12.3% 10.2% 10.3% 6.8% 1.7% 0.0%
Erin Hawk 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 2.1% 1.2% 2.8% 4.7% 17.5% 36.7% 29.6%
Marissa Lihan 5.9% 6.7% 5.6% 7.0% 6.5% 10.1% 8.2% 11.6% 8.3% 11.6% 11.3% 5.1% 1.6% 0.5%
Sarah Gross 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 1.1% 2.1% 3.1% 11.5% 23.6% 54.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.