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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.54+6.55vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.25+6.53vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.43+7.84vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.24+3.97vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31+2.63vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.37+1.37vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.18-2.38vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.38+3.05vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.22-4.41vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.65+1.56vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-2.17vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.97-3.13vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.54+4.36vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.83-5.01vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.84-0.01vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.21-2.88vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.86-11.27vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.27-6.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.55University of Rhode Island1.547.3%1st Place
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8.53Yale University1.254.5%1st Place
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10.84Connecticut College0.433.5%1st Place
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7.97Roger Williams University1.245.8%1st Place
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7.63Salve Regina University1.316.9%1st Place
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7.37Connecticut College1.376.6%1st Place
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4.62Yale University2.1816.2%1st Place
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11.05Connecticut College0.382.8%1st Place
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4.59Brown University2.2215.0%1st Place
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11.56Northeastern University0.652.1%1st Place
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8.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.085.3%1st Place
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8.87Salve Regina University0.974.4%1st Place
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17.36Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.540.1%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University0.833.9%1st Place
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14.99Middlebury College-0.840.4%1st Place
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13.12Maine Maritime Academy-0.211.1%1st Place
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5.73Brown University1.8611.5%1st Place
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11.39Connecticut College0.272.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Moffitt | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Powers | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| William Bailey | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Bedford | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Farina | 16.2% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Gronda | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 1.0% |
| Mason Stang | 15.0% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Brock | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 0.9% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 9.8% | 78.8% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 38.6% | 12.9% |
| Sean Caulfield | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 3.9% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.