Race 7A

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Deirdre Lambert 15.9% 14.1% 13.3% 12.6% 10.9% 9.2% 7.3% 6.9% 5.0% 2.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Laura Wefer 6.5% 9.2% 7.6% 9.3% 7.1% 8.4% 10.8% 9.9% 11.0% 9.2% 6.2% 3.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Morgan Kiss 19.9% 17.7% 15.5% 12.2% 10.5% 8.5% 7.1% 4.2% 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Erin Mullins 5.2% 8.5% 6.8% 8.0% 8.9% 10.7% 9.9% 10.2% 10.2% 9.3% 8.1% 3.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Nikole Barnes 10.2% 11.0% 14.6% 11.3% 10.4% 9.9% 11.3% 6.9% 6.6% 4.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Clerc Cooper 12.9% 11.9% 12.6% 11.5% 12.7% 10.2% 7.5% 7.3% 5.9% 4.4% 1.7% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Madeline Kennedy 7.1% 9.0% 7.3% 7.9% 10.1% 8.9% 11.3% 9.0% 8.5% 10.3% 7.3% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Alison Knoles 4.2% 2.5% 4.1% 4.7% 4.0% 5.4% 5.8% 7.8% 10.5% 12.1% 16.9% 14.1% 6.2% 1.7%
Deborah Kenote 1.3% 0.8% 1.6% 1.1% 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 3.0% 4.0% 4.2% 10.0% 27.2% 29.1% 14.0%
Marissa Lihan 5.6% 5.7% 5.5% 6.7% 8.7% 7.5% 9.8% 12.0% 10.7% 11.6% 9.6% 5.3% 1.0% 0.3%
Jennifer Borshoff 5.8% 5.0% 5.3% 8.5% 7.1% 9.2% 7.9% 9.7% 11.8% 11.6% 10.8% 5.6% 1.4% 0.3%
Adelaide Ferguson 4.2% 3.6% 4.9% 5.2% 7.2% 8.7% 8.0% 10.3% 10.4% 12.3% 13.6% 8.0% 3.1% 0.5%
Erin Hawk 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 1.4% 1.0% 2.0% 1.6% 4.3% 7.4% 17.3% 32.2% 29.0%
Sarah Gross 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 1.4% 2.2% 4.2% 9.2% 24.7% 54.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.