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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.86+4.70vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.37+5.62vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.18+1.67vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.54+3.57vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.22-0.46vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.83+3.16vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.24+0.95vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.27+3.40vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy-0.21+4.07vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.97-1.04vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.65+0.73vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.60-1.59vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.31-5.25vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.38-2.90vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.25-6.49vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-7.44vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.84-1.96vs Predicted
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18Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.54-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Brown University1.8612.5%1st Place
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7.62Connecticut College1.376.3%1st Place
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4.67Yale University2.1813.8%1st Place
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7.57University of Rhode Island1.546.2%1st Place
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4.54Brown University2.2215.8%1st Place
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9.16Tufts University0.833.8%1st Place
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7.95Roger Williams University1.246.3%1st Place
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11.4Connecticut College0.272.9%1st Place
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13.07Maine Maritime Academy-0.211.9%1st Place
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8.96Salve Regina University0.974.3%1st Place
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11.73Northeastern University0.652.5%1st Place
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10.41Connecticut College0.603.2%1st Place
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7.75Salve Regina University1.316.6%1st Place
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11.1Connecticut College0.382.3%1st Place
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8.51Yale University1.255.7%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.085.1%1st Place
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15.04Middlebury College-0.840.8%1st Place
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17.25Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.540.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bedford | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Farina | 13.8% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mason Stang | 15.8% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| William Bailey | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 1.5% |
| Sean Caulfield | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 4.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Carter Brock | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 1.5% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Liam Gronda | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 0.5% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 14.3% | 39.6% | 13.4% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 10.7% | 77.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.