Race 9A

sperry-women-west-semis

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nikole Barnes 12.4% 12.5% 14.7% 10.3% 10.8% 11.1% 7.6% 6.9% 6.0% 4.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Madeline Kennedy 6.4% 8.8% 7.8% 8.9% 8.5% 8.7% 11.2% 9.2% 12.0% 8.6% 6.1% 3.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Deirdre Lambert 15.5% 14.8% 12.7% 11.6% 11.0% 9.8% 8.9% 7.0% 4.7% 2.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Marissa Lihan 4.3% 5.6% 8.0% 7.6% 7.8% 8.4% 9.3% 9.4% 13.1% 8.4% 11.1% 5.5% 1.5% 0.0%
Laura Wefer 5.4% 6.7% 7.3% 8.7% 9.0% 9.4% 9.7% 11.3% 9.2% 10.3% 9.2% 3.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Adelaide Ferguson 4.1% 4.1% 4.7% 5.8% 5.7% 7.4% 8.0% 10.5% 9.4% 15.0% 13.9% 7.9% 3.1% 0.4%
Clerc Cooper 15.0% 13.7% 11.4% 13.0% 11.4% 9.4% 9.4% 6.5% 5.6% 2.9% 1.5% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Morgan Kiss 20.5% 17.3% 14.3% 12.3% 10.9% 8.2% 6.1% 5.5% 2.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alison Knoles 3.5% 3.2% 3.0% 3.4% 4.8% 5.2% 5.7% 8.7% 10.0% 13.4% 20.1% 11.8% 6.2% 1.0%
Erin Mullins 5.8% 6.6% 6.5% 10.1% 9.0% 9.7% 10.1% 11.0% 9.9% 10.0% 6.8% 3.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Deborah Kenote 0.7% 0.5% 1.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 0.9% 3.0% 3.3% 7.2% 7.7% 27.4% 28.5% 15.2%
Erin Hawk 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.4% 1.4% 1.5% 1.6% 1.1% 2.0% 2.8% 6.2% 19.5% 32.7% 29.3%
Jennifer Borshoff 5.9% 5.3% 7.2% 6.2% 8.0% 9.0% 10.4% 9.2% 10.9% 10.9% 9.7% 5.1% 1.9% 0.3%
Sarah Gross 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.7% 1.1% 0.7% 1.4% 1.9% 3.7% 11.2% 24.2% 53.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.