Race 10A

sperry-women-west-semis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

71.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Deirdre Lambert 14.9% 15.1% 14.7% 12.3% 10.1% 8.1% 8.8% 5.8% 4.9% 3.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Morgan Kiss 20.4% 18.0% 14.5% 14.6% 10.4% 8.7% 4.4% 4.4% 2.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nikole Barnes 13.5% 11.7% 11.5% 12.6% 11.2% 9.5% 8.5% 8.6% 5.9% 4.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Laura Wefer 5.0% 8.4% 7.7% 7.0% 8.9% 8.8% 12.7% 9.4% 10.0% 9.4% 7.2% 4.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Madeline Kennedy 5.3% 6.7% 7.4% 10.2% 8.1% 8.2% 10.3% 9.7% 10.7% 10.0% 8.6% 4.0% 0.4% 0.4%
Marissa Lihan 6.3% 4.5% 5.9% 6.7% 7.6% 10.6% 9.4% 10.5% 10.5% 11.1% 10.1% 5.2% 1.6% 0.0%
Erin Mullins 7.6% 8.7% 7.6% 7.8% 8.6% 9.5% 11.5% 10.0% 10.3% 9.0% 6.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Adelaide Ferguson 4.7% 4.7% 5.7% 6.0% 6.1% 7.4% 7.3% 9.8% 10.9% 12.8% 12.8% 8.1% 3.2% 0.5%
Clerc Cooper 12.5% 12.4% 13.4% 10.0% 13.4% 11.1% 6.7% 8.0% 6.0% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Alison Knoles 2.9% 2.8% 3.3% 2.9% 5.4% 5.6% 5.8% 7.8% 12.1% 11.3% 18.4% 14.9% 5.4% 1.4%
Erin Hawk 0.3% 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.6% 1.7% 1.2% 1.5% 4.6% 6.4% 16.1% 33.7% 30.8%
Jennifer Borshoff 5.2% 5.1% 6.1% 7.2% 8.3% 9.0% 10.1% 10.9% 10.3% 10.8% 9.4% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4%
Deborah Kenote 1.2% 1.0% 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 2.3% 2.0% 3.1% 3.1% 5.1% 11.3% 25.7% 30.0% 12.2%
Sarah Gross 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 1.4% 2.7% 3.5% 12.5% 21.8% 54.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.