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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.83+8.11vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.37+5.40vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.54+4.65vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.65+7.51vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.18-0.36vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+2.39vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.24+1.02vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.97+0.89vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.86-3.34vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31-2.47vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.22-6.43vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.34-0.71vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.25-4.38vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.21-0.69vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.43-3.86vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.38-4.93vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.84-2.04vs Predicted
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18Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.54-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.11Tufts University0.834.3%1st Place
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7.4Connecticut College1.377.2%1st Place
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7.65University of Rhode Island1.546.7%1st Place
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11.51Northeastern University0.652.9%1st Place
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4.64Yale University2.1815.8%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.085.0%1st Place
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8.02Roger Williams University1.245.1%1st Place
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8.89Salve Regina University0.974.5%1st Place
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5.66Brown University1.8610.8%1st Place
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7.53Salve Regina University1.316.7%1st Place
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4.57Brown University2.2216.6%1st Place
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11.29Connecticut College0.342.6%1st Place
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8.62Yale University1.255.8%1st Place
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13.31Maine Maritime Academy-0.211.1%1st Place
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11.14Connecticut College0.431.9%1st Place
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11.07Connecticut College0.382.4%1st Place
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14.96Middlebury College-0.840.5%1st Place
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17.23Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Talbot | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| William Bedford | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carter Brock | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 1.2% |
| Mateo Farina | 15.8% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| William Bailey | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 10.8% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 16.6% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sean Caulfield | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 19.2% | 18.5% | 4.2% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 1.1% |
| Liam Gronda | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 14.4% | 37.9% | 13.1% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 4.0% | 10.7% | 77.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.