Race 6B

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Michael Grove 25.3% 21.0% 16.6% 12.2% 11.4% 6.7% 3.8% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Don Hause III 9.9% 9.9% 14.3% 13.1% 14.8% 14.4% 10.6% 8.6% 3.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Andrew Mason 15.0% 15.5% 13.2% 14.9% 14.7% 13.4% 7.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Miles Martschink 9.0% 10.2% 13.4% 13.7% 14.8% 13.9% 11.9% 7.9% 4.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Brady Stagg 22.8% 23.4% 17.2% 15.7% 8.8% 5.0% 4.9% 1.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Boger 8.0% 9.1% 9.4% 11.4% 13.6% 12.5% 13.1% 13.6% 6.9% 2.4% 0.0%
Maxwell Plarr 3.3% 4.0% 6.4% 7.0% 8.0% 11.6% 17.5% 18.3% 16.3% 7.6% 0.0%
Robert Boger 8.0% 9.1% 9.4% 11.4% 13.6% 12.5% 13.1% 13.6% 6.9% 2.4% 0.0%
Kathleen Hilton 3.3% 3.7% 4.7% 6.1% 7.5% 9.8% 12.1% 19.8% 21.1% 11.9% 0.0%
Evgenia Olimpieva 2.3% 2.5% 3.8% 3.7% 3.7% 8.6% 12.8% 15.2% 26.7% 20.7% 0.0%
Kimannee Simon 1.1% 0.7% 1.0% 2.2% 2.7% 4.1% 5.5% 8.4% 18.8% 55.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.