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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.47+1.28vs Predicted
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2Clemson University-0.88+2.50vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina-0.41+0.30vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.13-0.85vs Predicted
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5Davidson College-1.97+0.95vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.92-1.87vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.12-0.88vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University-2.44-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28North Carolina State University0.4737.2%1st Place
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4.5Clemson University-0.888.2%1st Place
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3.3University of South Carolina-0.4117.2%1st Place
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3.15University of North Carolina-0.1318.2%1st Place
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5.95Davidson College-1.973.5%1st Place
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4.13University of North Carolina-0.9210.4%1st Place
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6.12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.122.7%1st Place
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6.57Wake Forest University-2.442.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Hauenstein | 37.2% | 25.2% | 19.1% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Laufer | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 17.7% | 12.8% | 3.8% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 17.2% | 19.3% | 20.5% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| John Cole McGee | 18.2% | 21.7% | 20.3% | 18.4% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 19.8% | 24.4% | 23.5% |
| Emma Gumny | 10.4% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 15.3% | 8.0% | 2.7% |
| Cade Boguslaw | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 17.2% | 24.8% | 28.2% |
| Charles Palmer | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 14.1% | 24.9% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.