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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.71+3.46vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+2.04vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.85+3.78vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10-0.38vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.04+1.41vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.82vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.06-1.00vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.61-0.60vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.04-2.64vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.24-1.40vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.84vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University0.51+0.19vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.98-1.71vs Predicted
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14University of Iowa-0.06-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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4.04Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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6.78Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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3.62Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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6.41University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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6.82U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.0Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.4Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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8.6University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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12.19Texas A&M University0.510.0%1st Place
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11.29Western Washington University0.980.0%1st Place
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12.86University of Iowa-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clerc Cooper | 13.8% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 17.6% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 20.6% | 20.3% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Laura Wefer | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 0.3% |
| Erin Hawk | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 17.6% | 33.1% | 28.6% |
| Deborah Kenote | 1.7% | 0.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 23.9% | 26.7% | 14.7% |
| Sarah Gross | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 10.9% | 23.0% | 53.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.