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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.86+4.64vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+2.59vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.18+1.70vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.54+3.67vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.34+6.25vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.24+1.80vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.31+0.56vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.37-0.63vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.83+0.31vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.65+1.65vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.25-2.47vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy-0.21+1.13vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.43-2.08vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.97-4.98vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.38-3.87vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-7.36vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.84-2.15vs Predicted
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18Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.54-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64Brown University1.8611.8%1st Place
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4.59Brown University2.2215.6%1st Place
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4.7Yale University2.1815.6%1st Place
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7.67University of Rhode Island1.546.9%1st Place
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11.25Connecticut College0.342.2%1st Place
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7.8Roger Williams University1.246.8%1st Place
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7.56Salve Regina University1.316.9%1st Place
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7.37Connecticut College1.377.2%1st Place
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9.31Tufts University0.833.8%1st Place
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11.65Northeastern University0.651.9%1st Place
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8.53Yale University1.255.3%1st Place
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13.13Maine Maritime Academy-0.211.5%1st Place
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10.92Connecticut College0.432.9%1st Place
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9.02Salve Regina University0.973.9%1st Place
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11.13Connecticut College0.382.6%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.9%1st Place
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14.85Middlebury College-0.840.9%1st Place
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17.26Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.540.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 15.6% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Farina | 15.6% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 1.0% |
| William Bailey | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Bedford | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Carter Brock | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 1.9% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sean Caulfield | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 3.5% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Liam Gronda | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucie Rochat | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 37.1% | 12.3% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 8.6% | 78.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.