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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.04+6.51vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.34vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+0.41vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.34+5.36vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.72+3.46vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+0.21vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.65+1.33vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.18+3.52vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.20-4.31vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.51-3.53vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.58-4.77vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.18-7.31vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University0.12-1.39vs Predicted
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14University of Iowa-1.04-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.51Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
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3.34U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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3.41Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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9.36University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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8.46Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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6.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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8.33University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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11.52Western Washington University0.180.0%1st Place
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4.69College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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6.47University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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6.23Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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4.69Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.61Texas A&M University0.120.0%1st Place
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13.16University of Iowa-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Ludwig | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Mary Hall | 22.3% | 20.6% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 22.1% | 21.7% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 7.6% | 1.6% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Kayla Ellis | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Rachael McCrady | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 20.3% | 30.4% | 16.9% |
| Grace Lucas | 12.1% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 11.3% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Megan Woodring | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 10.2% | 22.5% | 32.0% | 15.2% |
| Molly Strieker | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 8.1% | 17.6% | 64.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.