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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.99+9.82vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.77+9.91vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.42+8.62vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.79+6.55vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.20+3.55vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.76+1.93vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.85+1.42vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.01-0.66vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-0.31vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.32+0.06vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.46-2.40vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-1.63vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.34-1.95vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.90-6.29vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.47-5.40vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-2.75vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston1.12-1.79vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.57-4.44vs Predicted
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19Stanford University1.56-6.06vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin2.02-8.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.82Tufts University1.994.7%1st Place
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11.91University of Rhode Island1.773.8%1st Place
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11.62Roger Williams University2.423.8%1st Place
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10.55Boston University1.794.2%1st Place
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8.55Yale University3.206.8%1st Place
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7.93Georgetown University2.767.7%1st Place
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8.42Brown University2.856.7%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Naval Academy3.019.8%1st Place
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8.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.3%1st Place
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10.06University of Miami2.325.8%1st Place
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8.6Tulane University2.466.7%1st Place
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10.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.0%1st Place
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11.05Boston College2.344.0%1st Place
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7.71Dartmouth College2.908.2%1st Place
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9.6Harvard University2.475.1%1st Place
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13.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.662.2%1st Place
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15.21College of Charleston1.121.5%1st Place
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13.56Fordham University1.572.5%1st Place
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12.94Stanford University1.562.8%1st Place
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11.83University of Wisconsin2.023.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Merson | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Shawn Harvey | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Jack Reiter | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| JC Hermus | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| John Ped | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.9% |
| Pierce Ornstein | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 27.5% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.4% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.