← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University2.46+7.25vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.20+5.89vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+6.85vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami2.32+5.20vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.99+5.19vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.57+6.73vs Predicted
-
7Boston University1.79+3.30vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy3.01-1.19vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University2.76-1.63vs Predicted
-
10Brown University2.85-2.09vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.42+0.26vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College2.90-4.79vs Predicted
-
13Stanford University1.56-0.69vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island1.77-2.68vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-6.57vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-3.27vs Predicted
-
17Boston College2.34-6.54vs Predicted
-
18University of Wisconsin2.02-6.74vs Predicted
-
19College of Charleston1.12-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.25Tulane University2.467.0%1st Place
-
7.89Yale University3.208.0%1st Place
-
9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.2%1st Place
-
9.2University of Miami2.325.7%1st Place
-
10.19Tufts University1.993.6%1st Place
-
12.73Fordham University1.571.9%1st Place
-
10.3Boston University1.794.2%1st Place
-
6.81U. S. Naval Academy3.0110.3%1st Place
-
7.37Georgetown University2.769.4%1st Place
-
7.91Brown University2.857.9%1st Place
-
11.26Roger Williams University2.423.4%1st Place
-
7.21Dartmouth College2.908.8%1st Place
-
12.31Stanford University1.562.5%1st Place
-
11.32University of Rhode Island1.774.0%1st Place
-
8.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.9%1st Place
-
12.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.3%1st Place
-
10.46Boston College2.344.2%1st Place
-
11.26University of Wisconsin2.023.6%1st Place
-
14.52College of Charleston1.121.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Shawn Harvey | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Clayton Snyder | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| JC Hermus | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Jack Reiter | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| John Ped | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 13.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| Pierce Ornstein | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 14.2% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.