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📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+3.57vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+1.34vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+1.68vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.74-0.51vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+1.23vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.58+0.26vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.04+0.33vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.34+1.21vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.65-0.43vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.51-3.63vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.72-2.56vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.18-0.35vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University0.12-1.35vs Predicted
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14University of Iowa-1.04-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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3.34Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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4.68Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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3.49U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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6.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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6.26Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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7.33Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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8.57University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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6.37University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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8.44Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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11.65Western Washington University0.180.0%1st Place
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11.65Texas A&M University0.120.0%1st Place
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13.18University of Iowa-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 12.6% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 23.0% | 19.3% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 13.3% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 20.1% | 20.5% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Leslie Poole | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 8.3% | 1.9% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Colleen Hartman | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Rachael McCrady | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 23.6% | 31.7% | 14.4% |
| Megan Woodring | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 10.9% | 21.8% | 31.7% | 16.4% |
| Molly Strieker | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 17.8% | 65.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.