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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.42+10.08vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+7.74vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.34+7.58vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.20+3.96vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.01+1.87vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.99+4.30vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.46+1.10vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.76-0.71vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.77+2.19vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.82vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.79-0.80vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.12+2.45vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.85-5.09vs Predicted
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14Stanford University1.56-1.71vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-1.66vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.90-8.72vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.02-5.88vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.57-5.32vs Predicted
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19University of Miami2.32-9.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.08Roger Williams University2.424.1%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.8%1st Place
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10.58Boston College2.344.6%1st Place
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7.96Yale University3.207.3%1st Place
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6.87U. S. Naval Academy3.018.8%1st Place
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10.3Tufts University1.993.8%1st Place
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8.1Tulane University2.467.6%1st Place
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7.29Georgetown University2.769.1%1st Place
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11.19University of Rhode Island1.773.8%1st Place
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8.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.9%1st Place
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10.2Boston University1.794.0%1st Place
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14.45College of Charleston1.121.5%1st Place
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7.91Brown University2.857.6%1st Place
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12.29Stanford University1.562.9%1st Place
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13.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.241.8%1st Place
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7.28Dartmouth College2.909.4%1st Place
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11.12University of Wisconsin2.024.3%1st Place
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12.68Fordham University1.572.4%1st Place
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9.43University of Miami2.325.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Shawn Harvey | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| JC Hermus | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Jack Reiter | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Parker Colantuono | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Pierce Ornstein | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 26.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% |
| Alex Abate | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 17.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 11.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.