← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.58+5.11vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.74+1.33vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+3.07vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.20+0.66vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.45vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida2.51+0.38vs Predicted
-
7University of Hawaii1.65+1.32vs Predicted
-
8University of Wisconsin1.34+1.24vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.18-4.23vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University2.04-2.38vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University1.72-2.54vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University0.18-0.32vs Predicted
-
13University of Iowa-1.04+0.14vs Predicted
-
14Texas A&M University0.12-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.11Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
-
3.33Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
-
6.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
-
4.66College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
-
3.55U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
-
6.38University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
-
8.32University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
-
9.24University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
-
4.77Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
7.62Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
-
8.46Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
-
11.68Western Washington University0.180.0%1st Place
-
13.14University of Iowa-1.040.0%1st Place
-
11.65Texas A&M University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 23.6% | 19.4% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 11.2% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 20.3% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 9.5% | 1.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 12.2% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 9.5% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Rachael McCrady | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 25.3% | 29.6% | 16.2% |
| Molly Strieker | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 7.9% | 15.2% | 66.9% |
| Megan Woodring | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 20.4% | 34.6% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.