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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+3.61vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.51+4.15vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.41vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74-0.54vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.04+2.68vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.58+0.29vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-1.10vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.20-3.34vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.72-0.59vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.65-1.31vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.34-1.70vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.18-0.36vs Predicted
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13University of Iowa-1.04+0.14vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University0.12-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.15University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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3.41U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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3.46Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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7.68Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
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6.29Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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5.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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4.66College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.41Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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11.64Western Washington University0.180.0%1st Place
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13.14University of Iowa-1.040.0%1st Place
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11.66Texas A&M University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 12.3% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 23.3% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 20.6% | 20.8% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 12.2% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 9.5% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 19.2% | 14.6% | 8.6% | 1.1% |
| Rachael McCrady | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 11.8% | 23.0% | 29.4% | 16.0% |
| Molly Strieker | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 15.0% | 67.1% |
| Megan Woodring | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 20.5% | 34.6% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.