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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.34+9.51vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.57+10.77vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.99+7.05vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.32+5.41vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.77+6.26vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.85+2.02vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.46+1.07vs Predicted
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8Stanford University1.56+4.11vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+0.82vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.42+1.09vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.79-0.77vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24+1.27vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.76-5.62vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-5.84vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.01-7.96vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.90-8.70vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.20-9.05vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.12-3.70vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.02-7.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.51Boston College2.344.2%1st Place
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12.77Fordham University1.572.8%1st Place
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10.05Tufts University1.995.7%1st Place
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9.41University of Miami2.324.3%1st Place
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11.26University of Rhode Island1.774.2%1st Place
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8.02Brown University2.857.2%1st Place
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8.07Tulane University2.467.5%1st Place
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12.11Stanford University1.563.2%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.4%1st Place
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11.09Roger Williams University2.424.2%1st Place
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10.23Boston University1.794.3%1st Place
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13.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.242.1%1st Place
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7.38Georgetown University2.768.0%1st Place
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8.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.8%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Naval Academy3.018.9%1st Place
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7.3Dartmouth College2.908.6%1st Place
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7.95Yale University3.206.9%1st Place
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14.3College of Charleston1.122.1%1st Place
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11.27University of Wisconsin2.023.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 13.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Alex Abate | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 16.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| JC Hermus | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Shawn Harvey | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Pierce Ornstein | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 14.1% | 25.4% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.