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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.42vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.72+6.25vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+0.41vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.20+0.66vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18-0.24vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+0.21vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.65+1.35vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.58-1.90vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.51-2.57vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.34-0.59vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.18+0.66vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University0.12-0.23vs Predicted
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13University of Iowa-1.04+0.12vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.04-6.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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8.25Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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3.41Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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4.66College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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4.76Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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8.35University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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6.1Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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6.43University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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9.41University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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11.66Western Washington University0.180.0%1st Place
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11.77Texas A&M University0.120.0%1st Place
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13.12University of Iowa-1.040.0%1st Place
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7.46Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 21.7% | 21.6% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Marlena Fauer | 23.9% | 19.3% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 11.1% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 19.2% | 15.1% | 9.5% | 1.3% |
| Rachael McCrady | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 21.4% | 33.0% | 14.9% |
| Megan Woodring | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 11.0% | 23.3% | 31.2% | 16.9% |
| Molly Strieker | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 8.9% | 15.9% | 65.5% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.