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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+6.18vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.46+6.18vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+4.31vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.01+2.94vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+4.65vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.34+4.36vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.32+2.27vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.20-0.05vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.99+1.01vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.85-2.01vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.42+0.41vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.79-1.85vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.77-1.82vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-0.71vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-6.60vs Predicted
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16Stanford University1.56-3.61vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston1.12-2.68vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.57-5.26vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.02-7.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18Dartmouth College2.908.8%1st Place
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8.18Tulane University2.466.6%1st Place
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7.31Georgetown University2.769.4%1st Place
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6.94U. S. Naval Academy3.019.2%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.8%1st Place
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10.36Boston College2.344.0%1st Place
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9.27University of Miami2.325.9%1st Place
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7.95Yale University3.207.6%1st Place
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10.01Tufts University1.994.1%1st Place
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7.99Brown University2.857.9%1st Place
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11.41Roger Williams University2.423.1%1st Place
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10.15Boston University1.794.0%1st Place
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11.18University of Rhode Island1.773.5%1st Place
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13.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.243.1%1st Place
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8.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.2%1st Place
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12.39Stanford University1.563.4%1st Place
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14.32College of Charleston1.121.6%1st Place
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12.74Fordham University1.572.5%1st Place
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11.28University of Wisconsin2.023.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Jack Reiter | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| JC Hermus | 9.2% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% |
| Alex Abate | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 17.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% |
| Pierce Ornstein | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 25.7% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 13.2% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.