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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+3.65vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+1.32vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+3.06vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.65+4.62vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.72+3.38vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.34+3.38vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.20-2.51vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.51-1.71vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.04-1.38vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.74-6.50vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.58-4.79vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.18-0.34vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University0.12-1.39vs Predicted
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14University of Iowa-1.04-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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3.32Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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6.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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8.38Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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9.38University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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4.49College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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6.29University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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7.62Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
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3.5U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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6.21Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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11.66Western Washington University0.180.0%1st Place
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11.61Texas A&M University0.120.0%1st Place
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13.2University of Iowa-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 12.9% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 22.3% | 20.0% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 18.0% | 7.2% | 1.7% |
| Grace Lucas | 13.8% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Mary Hall | 19.1% | 21.6% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rachael McCrady | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 23.5% | 31.8% | 14.5% |
| Megan Woodring | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 21.2% | 30.9% | 16.5% |
| Molly Strieker | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 18.5% | 65.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.