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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.49vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+2.49vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.34+6.17vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.51+2.35vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.74-1.41vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.72+2.48vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.20-2.55vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-1.96vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.58-2.72vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.04-2.33vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.65-2.44vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University0.12-0.27vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.18-1.47vs Predicted
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14University of Iowa-1.04-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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4.49Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.17University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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6.35University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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3.59Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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8.48Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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4.45College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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6.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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6.28Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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7.67Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.56University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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11.73Texas A&M University0.120.0%1st Place
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11.53Western Washington University0.180.0%1st Place
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13.18University of Iowa-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 21.2% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 13.5% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 16.1% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Colleen Hartman | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 18.1% | 20.9% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Grace Lucas | 14.5% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 10.3% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Megan Woodring | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 12.1% | 21.6% | 32.6% | 16.0% |
| Rachael McCrady | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 21.9% | 30.7% | 15.2% |
| Molly Strieker | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 6.6% | 18.4% | 65.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.