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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.46+7.07vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+5.36vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.01+3.92vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.02+7.43vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.77+6.11vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+2.28vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.42+4.26vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.96vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.79+1.01vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.90-2.73vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.20-3.08vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.12+2.46vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24+0.39vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.32-4.61vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.34-4.77vs Predicted
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16Stanford University1.56-3.81vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.85-9.19vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.57-5.31vs Predicted
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19Tufts University1.99-8.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07Tulane University2.466.6%1st Place
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7.36Georgetown University2.769.7%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Naval Academy3.0110.8%1st Place
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11.43University of Wisconsin2.023.4%1st Place
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11.11University of Rhode Island1.774.0%1st Place
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8.28St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.6%1st Place
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11.26Roger Williams University2.423.8%1st Place
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9.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.8%1st Place
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10.01Boston University1.794.3%1st Place
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7.27Dartmouth College2.908.8%1st Place
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7.92Yale University3.208.1%1st Place
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14.46College of Charleston1.121.8%1st Place
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13.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.241.7%1st Place
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9.39University of Miami2.325.1%1st Place
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10.23Boston College2.344.6%1st Place
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12.19Stanford University1.562.7%1st Place
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7.81Brown University2.857.0%1st Place
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12.69Fordham University1.572.1%1st Place
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10.27Tufts University1.994.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Jack Reiter | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| JC Hermus | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Pierce Ornstein | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 26.2% |
| Alex Abate | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 17.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.