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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+6.97vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.99+7.99vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+4.21vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.46+4.10vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.34+5.45vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+4.20vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+0.59vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.77+3.39vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+0.82vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.72vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.01-4.05vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24+1.19vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.02-2.00vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.42-2.84vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.32-5.60vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.85-8.03vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.57-4.35vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.12-3.49vs Predicted
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19Stanford University1.56-6.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97Yale University3.207.4%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University1.995.9%1st Place
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7.21Dartmouth College2.909.0%1st Place
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8.1Tulane University2.468.0%1st Place
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10.45Boston College2.344.9%1st Place
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10.2Boston University1.794.1%1st Place
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7.59Georgetown University2.767.8%1st Place
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11.39University of Rhode Island1.773.1%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.0%1st Place
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8.28St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.0%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Naval Academy3.0110.0%1st Place
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13.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.242.4%1st Place
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11.0University of Wisconsin2.024.2%1st Place
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11.16Roger Williams University2.424.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Miami2.325.1%1st Place
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7.97Brown University2.857.0%1st Place
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12.65Fordham University1.572.7%1st Place
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14.51College of Charleston1.121.1%1st Place
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12.18Stanford University1.562.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Giblin | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Jack Reiter | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| JC Hermus | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alex Abate | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 15.8% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.2% |
| Pierce Ornstein | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 14.2% | 28.1% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.