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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+2.44vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+3.92vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.51+3.29vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.74-0.48vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18-0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.65+2.62vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.20-2.52vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.34+1.18vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.72-0.54vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University0.12+1.76vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.58-4.74vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.04-4.43vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.18-1.47vs Predicted
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14University of Iowa-1.04-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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5.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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6.29University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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3.52U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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4.8Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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4.48College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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8.46Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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11.76Texas A&M University0.120.0%1st Place
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6.26Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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7.57Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.53Western Washington University0.180.0%1st Place
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13.17University of Iowa-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 22.4% | 20.4% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 20.2% | 20.7% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 10.5% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 4.9% | 0.6% |
| Grace Lucas | 13.8% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| Megan Woodring | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 12.3% | 20.7% | 32.2% | 17.6% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 6.2% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Rachael McCrady | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 23.7% | 29.7% | 14.9% |
| Molly Strieker | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 8.6% | 17.6% | 64.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.