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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.79+9.32vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.42+9.26vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.20+4.88vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+3.89vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.76+2.65vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+2.35vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.90+0.45vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.99+2.05vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.01-2.09vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.77+1.38vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.57+1.61vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.34-1.26vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.02-1.72vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.12+0.34vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.46-6.70vs Predicted
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16Stanford University1.56-3.93vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-7.41vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-5.44vs Predicted
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19University of Miami2.32-9.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.32Boston University1.794.0%1st Place
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11.26Roger Williams University2.424.2%1st Place
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7.88Yale University3.207.6%1st Place
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7.89Brown University2.857.3%1st Place
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7.65Georgetown University2.768.2%1st Place
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8.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.0%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College2.908.8%1st Place
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10.05Tufts University1.995.1%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Naval Academy3.0110.0%1st Place
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11.38University of Rhode Island1.773.4%1st Place
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12.61Fordham University1.572.9%1st Place
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10.74Boston College2.343.6%1st Place
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11.28University of Wisconsin2.023.4%1st Place
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14.34College of Charleston1.122.2%1st Place
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8.3Tulane University2.466.9%1st Place
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12.07Stanford University1.563.0%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.0%1st Place
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12.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.662.2%1st Place
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9.35University of Miami2.325.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% |
| Shawn Harvey | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| JC Hermus | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% |
| Pierce Ornstein | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 28.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| John Ped | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.