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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+2.20vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+3.64vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+1.33vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.51+2.14vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18-0.47vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.71-0.25vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.34+1.95vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.65+0.36vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.04-1.57vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.72-1.67vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.58-5.03vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University0.12-0.29vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.18-1.50vs Predicted
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14University of Iowa-1.04-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Yale University3.740.3%1st Place
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5.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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4.33College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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6.14University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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4.53Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.75U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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8.95University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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8.36University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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7.43Cornell University2.040.1%1st Place
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8.33Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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5.97Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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11.71Texas A&M University0.120.0%1st Place
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11.5Western Washington University0.180.0%1st Place
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13.17University of Iowa-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 27.3% | 20.9% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 14.6% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Colleen Hartman | 5.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 12.2% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Killian Corbishley | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 15.9% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Megan Woodring | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 20.9% | 34.2% | 16.0% |
| Rachael McCrady | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 22.9% | 31.0% | 14.5% |
| Molly Strieker | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 17.7% | 65.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.