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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University-0.88+3.55vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.47+0.28vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.13+0.11vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-0.41-0.76vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.12+1.12vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.92-1.79vs Predicted
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7Davidson College-1.97-1.07vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University-2.44-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55Clemson University-0.887.9%1st Place
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2.28North Carolina State University0.4736.0%1st Place
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3.11University of North Carolina-0.1320.1%1st Place
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3.24University of South Carolina-0.4117.8%1st Place
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6.12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.122.9%1st Place
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4.21University of North Carolina-0.929.7%1st Place
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5.93Davidson College-1.973.1%1st Place
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6.55Wake Forest University-2.442.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Laufer | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 20.2% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 4.8% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 36.0% | 27.9% | 18.1% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| John Cole McGee | 20.1% | 20.3% | 20.6% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 17.8% | 20.4% | 20.2% | 18.8% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Cade Boguslaw | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 17.8% | 25.7% | 27.8% |
| Emma Gumny | 9.7% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 19.9% | 16.4% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 20.2% | 25.4% | 21.8% |
| Charles Palmer | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 14.8% | 22.1% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.