Race 7B

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Mason 16.2% 16.7% 14.6% 15.4% 11.6% 10.7% 8.2% 4.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Michael Grove 23.4% 18.4% 17.9% 15.3% 11.2% 6.7% 4.1% 2.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Robert Boger 7.2% 8.3% 9.5% 8.8% 12.0% 15.9% 16.5% 12.8% 7.1% 1.9% 0.0%
Miles Martschink 9.3% 10.8% 12.6% 13.2% 15.0% 14.1% 11.0% 9.4% 3.7% 0.9% 0.0%
Don Hause III 10.5% 11.6% 12.2% 13.2% 14.6% 14.6% 10.7% 7.8% 4.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Kathleen Hilton 3.8% 4.2% 4.1% 6.5% 6.8% 8.5% 14.6% 17.4% 21.5% 12.6% 0.0%
Brady Stagg 22.3% 21.7% 17.8% 14.6% 12.4% 6.5% 2.2% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Boger 7.2% 8.3% 9.5% 8.8% 12.0% 15.9% 16.5% 12.8% 7.1% 1.9% 0.0%
Maxwell Plarr 3.6% 5.4% 6.7% 6.5% 8.9% 11.4% 14.7% 18.0% 16.9% 7.9% 0.0%
Evgenia Olimpieva 2.8% 2.0% 3.2% 4.4% 5.1% 8.0% 12.4% 15.3% 26.9% 19.9% 0.0%
Kimannee Simon 0.9% 0.9% 1.4% 2.1% 2.4% 3.6% 5.6% 10.0% 17.5% 55.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.