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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+2.23vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+2.23vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+2.81vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.51+2.13vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.04+2.44vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.71-0.27vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18-2.77vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.58-2.10vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.65-0.55vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.72-1.71vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University0.12+0.72vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.18-0.42vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.34-3.91vs Predicted
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14University of Iowa-1.04-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23Yale University3.740.3%1st Place
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4.23College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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5.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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6.13University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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7.44Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
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5.73U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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4.23Dartmouth College3.180.2%1st Place
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5.9Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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8.45University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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8.29Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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11.72Texas A&M University0.120.0%1st Place
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11.58Western Washington University0.180.0%1st Place
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9.09University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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13.16University of Iowa-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 25.2% | 22.2% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 15.0% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Killian Corbishley | 8.0% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 15.2% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Megan Woodring | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 22.0% | 30.9% | 17.9% |
| Rachael McCrady | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 24.3% | 31.4% | 13.6% |
| Leslie Poole | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 7.5% | 1.7% |
| Molly Strieker | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 7.9% | 18.1% | 64.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.