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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+6.54vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.34+8.47vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.20+5.08vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.32+5.24vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.79+5.25vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.90+1.49vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.01+0.06vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.99+2.10vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-0.65vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.46-1.91vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-1.31vs Predicted
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12Stanford University1.56+0.04vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-0.36vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.42-3.11vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.85-7.11vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.77-4.71vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.57-4.03vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.12-3.48vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.02-7.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Georgetown University2.768.6%1st Place
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10.47Boston College2.344.2%1st Place
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8.08Yale University3.207.6%1st Place
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9.24University of Miami2.325.7%1st Place
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10.25Boston University1.795.1%1st Place
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7.49Dartmouth College2.908.7%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Naval Academy3.019.4%1st Place
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10.1Tufts University1.993.5%1st Place
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8.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.4%1st Place
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8.09Tulane University2.467.1%1st Place
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9.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.8%1st Place
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12.04Stanford University1.562.9%1st Place
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12.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.662.2%1st Place
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10.89Roger Williams University2.423.8%1st Place
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7.89Brown University2.856.8%1st Place
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11.29University of Rhode Island1.773.8%1st Place
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12.97Fordham University1.572.9%1st Place
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14.52College of Charleston1.121.5%1st Place
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11.42University of Wisconsin2.024.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| JC Hermus | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% |
| John Ped | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.8% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Parker Colantuono | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 14.3% |
| Pierce Ornstein | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 27.6% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.